Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2022-05-12

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-05-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 13 12 11 8 0 0 0
ODI 0 13 23 53 31 28 1 0
CDI 0 23 32 121 223 287 237 40
VCDI 0 26 46 281 850 2107 20634 20765
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-05-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0
VODI 0 2 0 12 4 10 13 0
ODI 0 10 12 34 85 135 67 0
CDI 0 17 36 156 267 432 364 51
VCDI 0 24 128 438 924 3916 19400 19327
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-05-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 6 5 58 114 80 5 0
ODI 0 9 14 58 201 193 43 0
CDI 0 28 51 209 518 566 226 33
VCDI 0 87 96 394 2332 5822 17378 17340
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-05-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1 7 16 16 10 4 0
VODI 0 16 7 55 147 99 41 0
ODI 0 21 6 49 145 252 95 0
CDI 0 28 41 193 246 861 393 29
VCDI 0 119 91 410 1044 6601 16659 18164
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 4 4 1 0 0 0
OW 0 0 1 12 20 6 0 0
VODI 0 15 10 55 137 93 33 0
ODI 0 21 2 47 151 245 81 0
CDI 0 29 42 202 261 892 343 39
VCDI 0 120 93 403 1028 6587 16735 18154

Date: 2022-05-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1 0 2 0 0 0 0
OW 0 19 17 27 40 22 13 0
VODI 0 25 12 67 112 100 58 0
ODI 0 23 15 44 135 180 157 0
CDI 0 33 35 199 297 577 783 22
VCDI 0 150 93 353 896 4601 17990 18768
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 8 13 6 6 0 0 0
OW 0 12 5 38 23 16 4 0
VODI 0 23 10 54 117 95 51 0
ODI 0 24 15 47 144 175 148 0
CDI 0 34 32 211 304 639 847 33
VCDI 0 150 97 336 886 4555 17951 18757

Date: 2022-05-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 43 11 10 12 3 0 0
VODI 0 22 37 196 108 35 6 0
ODI 0 19 35 217 371 221 42 0
CDI 0 52 52 299 854 1477 376 4
VCDI 0 93 108 214 642 3403 17321 19583
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 11 15 10 16 3 0 0
OW 0 18 5 34 26 21 3 0
VODI 0 26 11 88 156 123 37 0
ODI 0 18 27 127 172 134 93 0
CDI 0 35 64 346 706 1132 431 10
VCDI 0 121 121 331 911 3726 17181 19577

Date: 2022-05-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 12 8 3 0 0 0 0
OW 0 13 35 73 28 3 0 0
VODI 0 16 34 178 256 129 15 0
ODI 0 34 40 241 316 286 58 0
CDI 0 61 91 399 617 921 970 15
VCDI 0 91 112 315 881 3090 13654 22871
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 5 8 19 32 0 0 0
OW 0 15 23 58 57 39 1 0
VODI 0 18 33 130 231 127 14 0
ODI 0 17 35 109 188 193 71 0
CDI 0 49 80 470 587 939 998 27
VCDI 0 123 141 423 1003 3131 13613 22859

Date: 2022-05-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 15 15 26 1 0 0 0
OW 0 21 26 116 120 41 1 0
VODI 0 26 24 250 281 185 108 0
ODI 0 40 48 236 277 205 162 0
CDI 0 72 123 362 601 578 1176 56
VCDI 0 185 155 405 720 3258 13591 22360
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 18 27 57 61 21 0 0
OW 0 18 17 75 89 72 10 0
VODI 0 24 19 146 218 99 94 0
ODI 0 27 30 165 201 159 120 0
CDI 0 90 115 518 723 836 1311 85
VCDI 0 182 183 434 708 3080 13503 22331


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