Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2022-05-05

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-04-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57891 19769 5558 1122 445 100 14 0
OW 51 250 172 470 474 108 4 0
VODI 0 80 84 319 633 337 69 0
ODI 0 12 9 139 426 446 112 0
CDI 0 9 2 98 605 1093 499 0
VCDI 0 11 25 61 429 4142 9918 3114
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-05-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59932 20138 2968 1255 549 96 13 0
OW 61 296 155 419 468 118 26 0
VODI 10 65 89 331 586 312 110 0
ODI 0 7 18 142 457 453 108 0
CDI 0 14 7 94 636 1075 601 0
VCDI 0 21 52 77 793 3876 8223 4449
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-05-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64684 16902 1921 969 500 125 5 0
OW 60 87 139 428 334 117 14 0
VODI 0 32 49 359 670 231 56 0
ODI 0 11 6 130 569 501 106 0
CDI 0 10 13 51 551 1787 470 0
VCDI 0 1 31 69 482 3684 7639 5307
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-05-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62713 19455 1378 1046 381 131 10 0
OW 61 105 163 417 357 149 21 0
VODI 2 16 58 364 606 311 62 0
ODI 0 3 10 133 478 562 151 0
CDI 0 12 8 50 524 1849 644 0
VCDI 0 0 15 71 299 2894 8207 5384
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62715 19428 1391 1102 428 130 10 0
OW 59 125 151 361 346 148 24 0
VODI 2 23 63 383 590 330 61 0
ODI 0 2 3 126 468 570 170 0
CDI 0 8 5 37 523 1893 638 0
VCDI 0 5 19 72 290 2825 8192 5384

Date: 2022-05-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60553 21604 1815 830 333 91 6 0
OW 67 171 177 438 372 105 27 0
VODI 0 37 90 314 492 284 111 0
ODI 0 1 16 142 438 492 223 0
CDI 0 14 7 80 606 1757 841 0
VCDI 0 7 15 61 267 2933 7699 5584
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60553 21606 1823 911 390 92 8 0
OW 65 173 164 341 350 115 30 0
VODI 2 32 99 326 460 295 117 0
ODI 0 2 13 153 459 480 245 0
CDI 0 9 5 72 581 1802 806 0
VCDI 0 12 16 62 268 2878 7701 5584

Date: 2022-05-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61754 18947 3415 913 225 56 7 0
OW 60 95 173 519 259 50 6 0
VODI 0 11 46 379 580 173 46 0
ODI 0 7 6 133 761 580 198 0
CDI 0 4 21 89 798 2073 991 0
VCDI 0 0 7 126 795 2555 7599 4643
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61751 18828 3402 1098 353 89 15 0
OW 63 192 127 354 280 123 45 0
VODI 0 29 96 271 502 276 183 0
ODI 0 0 9 171 528 474 189 0
CDI 0 4 3 111 838 1661 937 0
VCDI 0 11 31 154 917 2864 7478 4643

Date: 2022-05-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59814 22025 2188 1162 409 75 11 0
OW 71 137 140 371 443 54 19 0
VODI 0 21 79 304 760 275 63 0
ODI 0 11 17 162 517 385 115 0
CDI 0 11 13 124 732 1784 826 0
VCDI 0 0 13 114 812 2878 6983 5182
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59811 21881 2139 1205 565 108 31 0
OW 74 213 161 328 413 122 47 0
VODI 0 80 68 256 574 220 115 0
ODI 0 15 47 138 518 452 153 0
CDI 0 10 16 171 659 1431 756 1
VCDI 0 6 19 139 944 3118 6915 5181

Date: 2022-05-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62868 20016 1519 1084 427 90 19 0
OW 64 166 128 332 505 214 56 0
VODI 0 53 112 254 457 174 95 0
ODI 0 22 50 203 376 256 135 0
CDI 0 12 23 193 902 1216 633 0
VCDI 0 2 23 126 947 3323 6587 5438
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62867 19878 1473 1101 496 215 38 0
OW 65 239 130 310 296 126 95 0
VODI 0 102 104 215 540 189 136 0
ODI 0 31 86 169 340 368 199 0
CDI 0 10 28 263 854 1162 459 0
VCDI 0 11 34 134 1088 3213 6598 5438


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