Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2022-05-05

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-04-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 5 8 11 5 0 0 0
OW 0 30 11 18 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 9 24 38 11 11 0 0
ODI 0 6 10 54 45 31 2 0
CDI 0 3 3 53 88 149 84 1
VCDI 0 0 1 106 427 3381 12587 14868
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-05-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 10 0 16 2 0 0 0
OW 0 51 13 16 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 13 38 45 21 17 0 0
ODI 0 2 14 59 58 21 2 0
CDI 0 0 5 39 97 165 212 0
VCDI 0 0 6 152 534 3091 13694 13686
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-05-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 59 12 17 10 0 0 0
OW 0 5 10 36 15 6 0 0
VODI 0 3 7 48 36 11 1 0
ODI 0 1 3 32 82 32 14 0
CDI 0 0 0 18 95 242 213 0
VCDI 0 0 0 36 288 2433 12525 15792
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-05-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 32 7 5 10 1 0 0
OW 0 5 9 12 41 9 0 0
VODI 0 3 4 18 32 30 9 0
ODI 0 0 2 22 44 46 16 0
CDI 0 0 0 24 137 269 233 0
VCDI 0 0 0 24 293 2217 14379 14149
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 31 6 5 12 2 0 0
OW 0 6 10 9 40 9 0 0
VODI 0 3 4 19 32 26 7 0
ODI 0 0 2 23 48 58 17 0
CDI 0 0 0 19 125 250 245 0
VCDI 0 0 0 30 300 2227 14368 14149

Date: 2022-05-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 47 6 8 1 0 0 0
OW 0 8 8 17 31 5 0 0
VODI 0 3 1 21 53 21 4 0
ODI 0 0 0 30 53 58 15 0
CDI 0 0 3 57 161 220 214 0
VCDI 0 0 0 97 366 2747 14050 13777
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 35 4 9 3 0 0 0
OW 0 20 6 16 27 3 0 0
VODI 0 3 5 30 61 27 1 0
ODI 0 0 1 29 58 57 14 0
CDI 0 0 1 62 150 215 225 0
VCDI 0 0 1 84 366 2749 14043 13777

Date: 2022-05-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 74 17 16 8 5 0 0
OW 0 20 42 54 2 2 0 0
VODI 0 2 22 94 50 10 1 0
ODI 0 1 3 53 115 24 12 0
CDI 0 0 10 44 234 211 83 2
VCDI 0 0 5 51 462 2946 12792 14615
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 70 27 15 6 4 0 0
OW 0 5 28 36 6 5 0 0
VODI 0 20 11 68 30 8 6 0
ODI 0 2 17 69 85 27 12 0
CDI 0 0 6 56 205 186 98 14
VCDI 0 0 10 68 539 2968 12772 14603

Date: 2022-05-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 116 27 65 18 1 0 0
OW 0 53 40 35 7 4 0 0
VODI 0 21 60 87 26 5 5 0
ODI 0 13 20 81 93 22 15 0
CDI 0 6 12 101 217 215 117 0
VCDI 0 0 17 149 645 3222 13262 13305
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 78 13 53 18 2 0 0
OW 0 46 54 37 7 4 1 0
VODI 0 55 33 75 40 15 8 0
ODI 0 22 47 79 92 41 16 0
CDI 0 8 13 132 215 254 133 0
VCDI 0 0 16 142 634 3153 13241 13305

Date: 2022-05-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 91 43 54 10 1 0 0
OW 0 41 39 38 7 6 0 0
VODI 0 22 41 97 18 8 6 0
ODI 0 12 20 100 103 21 14 0
CDI 0 9 13 145 296 230 155 0
VCDI 0 10 29 223 731 3633 13876 11940
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 68 38 47 5 0 0 0
OW 0 24 35 40 4 2 0 0
VODI 0 63 38 88 36 19 4 0
ODI 0 17 43 138 104 40 57 0
CDI 0 11 10 161 326 324 329 18
VCDI 0 2 21 183 690 3514 13661 11922


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