Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2022-05-05

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-04-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57891 19774 5566 1133 450 100 14 0
OW 51 281 183 488 479 109 4 0
VODI 0 95 108 365 655 353 70 0
ODI 0 32 24 211 500 490 138 0
CDI 0 28 12 188 806 1381 759 11
VCDI 0 26 47 261 1481 9316 38571 44597
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-05-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59932 20148 2968 1271 551 96 13 0
OW 61 347 168 435 472 119 26 0
VODI 10 83 129 384 608 335 113 0
ODI 0 17 35 220 536 498 150 0
CDI 0 24 29 206 868 1391 1132 0
VCDI 0 33 79 395 2052 9181 38201 43732
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-05-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64684 16961 1933 986 510 125 5 0
OW 60 92 149 464 349 123 14 0
VODI 0 39 57 416 719 246 60 0
ODI 0 13 15 214 713 566 145 0
CDI 0 19 27 193 915 2397 975 29
VCDI 0 18 68 293 1528 8131 37430 45367
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-05-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62713 19487 1385 1051 391 132 10 0
OW 61 110 172 429 402 158 21 0
VODI 2 22 75 394 653 341 71 0
ODI 0 6 24 213 597 637 167 0
CDI 0 22 19 175 890 2450 1050 38
VCDI 0 6 68 382 1397 7400 42378 41049
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62715 19459 1397 1107 440 132 10 0
OW 59 132 161 370 388 157 24 0
VODI 2 28 80 415 641 358 68 0
ODI 0 3 15 212 581 671 187 0
CDI 0 20 17 156 903 2471 1060 40
VCDI 0 11 73 384 1377 7329 42348 41047

Date: 2022-05-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60553 21651 1821 838 334 91 6 0
OW 67 179 185 455 404 110 27 0
VODI 0 46 95 347 548 309 115 0
ODI 0 9 37 220 523 590 273 0
CDI 0 29 38 284 1023 2274 1414 51
VCDI 0 40 76 469 1480 8537 41356 40144
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60553 21641 1827 920 393 92 8 0
OW 65 193 170 357 378 119 30 0
VODI 2 40 111 367 530 328 118 0
ODI 0 10 30 234 550 585 296 0
CDI 0 24 33 281 977 2299 1376 57
VCDI 0 46 81 454 1484 8488 41363 40138

Date: 2022-05-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61754 19021 3432 929 233 61 7 0
OW 60 115 215 573 261 52 6 0
VODI 0 17 74 506 689 242 56 0
ODI 0 21 32 253 1068 763 237 0
CDI 0 32 76 370 1545 2893 1356 15
VCDI 0 22 151 486 2660 10719 37495 38551
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61751 18898 3429 1113 359 93 15 0
OW 63 197 155 390 286 130 50 0
VODI 0 49 109 366 596 354 205 0
ODI 0 9 31 271 758 632 278 0
CDI 0 27 43 318 1409 2317 1457 88
VCDI 0 48 213 659 3048 11204 37152 38478

Date: 2022-05-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59814 22141 2215 1227 427 76 11 0
OW 71 190 180 414 455 59 19 0
VODI 0 52 145 460 913 388 75 0
ODI 0 41 40 294 837 635 157 0
CDI 0 32 63 419 1373 2818 1143 36
VCDI 0 114 102 644 2721 12289 37844 36114
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59811 21959 2152 1258 583 110 31 0
OW 74 259 215 372 436 146 52 0
VODI 0 139 104 388 703 368 136 0
ODI 0 52 100 269 824 743 204 4
CDI 0 34 52 425 1280 2396 1078 64
VCDI 0 127 122 746 2900 12502 37748 36082

Date: 2022-05-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62868 20108 1563 1138 437 91 19 0
OW 64 214 181 392 538 241 65 0
VODI 0 98 160 420 593 267 155 0
ODI 0 52 76 341 608 478 306 0
CDI 0 55 73 536 1470 1977 1601 27
VCDI 0 154 149 736 2686 12456 38272 35383
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62867 19948 1512 1154 504 218 40 0
OW 65 267 171 356 312 163 114 0
VODI 0 188 158 379 674 288 211 0
ODI 0 61 134 358 578 571 451 5
CDI 0 47 66 543 1416 2022 1539 91
VCDI 0 170 161 773 2848 12248 38063 35314


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