Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2022-04-28

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-04-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 11 16 18 0 0
OW 0 0 0 6 13 25 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 32 37 3 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 35 39 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 23 99 115 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 193 987 11504 18926
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-04-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 7 17 18 0 0 0
OW 0 0 2 17 8 13 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 20 17 24 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 13 23 26 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 39 83 15 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 28 600 11349 19761
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-04-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 3 1 16 10 0 0 0
OW 0 3 5 10 14 7 0 0
VODI 0 2 2 22 15 18 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 10 24 25 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 45 90 80 8
VCDI 0 0 0 0 31 565 14842 16233
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-04-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 7 1 7 12 0 0 0
OW 0 11 9 2 19 2 0 0
VODI 0 4 15 17 18 14 0 0
ODI 0 1 7 19 50 35 1 0
CDI 0 2 3 17 107 103 114 2
VCDI 0 1 0 29 357 2826 12353 15917
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 11 1 8 14 0 0 0
OW 0 6 6 1 18 2 0 0
VODI 0 4 16 18 15 12 0 0
ODI 0 1 7 20 51 37 1 0
CDI 0 3 5 19 106 106 114 2
VCDI 0 1 0 25 359 2823 12353 15917

Date: 2022-04-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 5 11 12 0 0 0 0
OW 0 44 22 7 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 14 22 59 17 18 1 0
ODI 0 5 7 56 70 22 0 0
CDI 0 2 6 51 89 172 76 34
VCDI 0 2 7 134 552 3309 11139 16115
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 16 16 13 0 0 0 0
OW 0 28 19 9 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 16 19 52 11 4 0 0
ODI 0 8 9 62 62 26 2 0
CDI 0 2 5 51 109 178 73 36
VCDI 0 2 7 132 546 3313 11141 16113

Date: 2022-05-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 65 2 14 3 0 0 0
OW 0 10 15 39 13 3 0 0
VODI 0 4 16 64 27 13 3 0
ODI 0 1 6 39 88 26 8 0
CDI 0 0 0 22 75 213 185 1
VCDI 0 0 0 46 378 2476 14093 14134
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 16 0 13 4 0 0 0
OW 0 39 2 19 8 0 0 0
VODI 0 24 12 40 15 4 0 0
ODI 0 1 13 60 59 21 16 0
CDI 0 0 4 24 105 168 225 4
VCDI 0 0 8 68 393 2538 14048 14131

Date: 2022-05-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 35 12 13 6 0 0 0
OW 0 3 5 38 29 1 0 0
VODI 0 6 1 21 47 16 4 0
ODI 0 1 0 18 75 55 21 0
CDI 0 0 0 12 159 310 198 0
VCDI 0 0 0 23 222 2061 14367 14323
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 2 0 7 10 0 0 0
OW 0 29 1 8 16 2 0 0
VODI 0 9 16 32 20 15 3 0
ODI 0 5 1 18 80 67 20 0
CDI 0 0 0 12 160 244 156 10
VCDI 0 0 0 48 252 2115 14411 14313

Date: 2022-05-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 36 10 6 6 1 0 0
OW 0 8 8 13 25 17 0 0
VODI 0 3 1 13 40 37 7 0
ODI 0 0 1 22 49 58 16 0
CDI 0 0 9 78 128 223 248 0
VCDI 0 0 0 84 393 2832 13379 14331
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 1 8 5 0 0
OW 0 20 0 1 9 13 0 0
VODI 0 23 15 31 36 29 4 0
ODI 0 4 13 45 69 40 19 0
CDI 0 0 1 85 138 184 257 40
VCDI 0 0 0 53 381 2897 13370 14291


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