Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2022-04-21

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-04-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 9 19 41 38 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 28 27 3 0 0
VODI 0 0 2 24 28 8 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 19 45 21 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 10 59 75 16 4
VCDI 0 0 1 39 227 1409 11288 18640
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-04-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1 31 34 22 6 0 0
OW 0 0 4 17 17 17 0 0
VODI 0 0 1 13 27 19 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 11 22 35 5 0
CDI 0 0 0 8 53 127 95 10
VCDI 0 0 1 2 180 1310 12044 17970
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-04-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 24 35 14 0 0 0
OW 0 0 3 19 25 7 0 0
VODI 0 1 2 20 30 19 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 9 38 65 9 0
CDI 0 0 0 8 59 118 143 3
VCDI 0 0 0 6 194 1107 12092 18032
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-04-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 12 18 22 0 0 0
OW 0 0 2 12 21 9 0 0
VODI 0 2 0 29 20 23 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 16 26 28 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 51 130 130 0
VCDI 0 0 0 25 220 1300 11672 18307
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 11 19 26 0 0 0
OW 0 0 3 13 17 13 0 0
VODI 0 2 0 33 25 25 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 11 31 24 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 46 117 107 0
VCDI 0 0 0 25 215 1311 11699 18307

Date: 2022-04-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 9 27 9 0 0 0
OW 0 0 4 17 13 9 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 13 29 23 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 2 41 28 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 33 93 41 3
VCDI 0 0 0 0 29 661 11730 19266
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 10 29 11 0 0 0
OW 0 0 3 16 11 14 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 12 42 20 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 2 35 24 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 32 89 28 1
VCDI 0 0 0 0 23 667 11741 19268

Date: 2022-04-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 3 22 8 0 0 0
OW 0 1 4 22 13 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 2 21 24 14 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 2 37 34 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 39 89 7 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 13 532 12211 18982
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 3 22 14 0 0 0
OW 0 0 3 12 16 11 0 0
VODI 0 2 2 21 17 19 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 12 26 24 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 31 62 24 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 30 553 12194 18982

Date: 2022-04-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 4 6 5 4 3 0 0
OW 0 5 4 10 12 3 0 0
VODI 0 2 3 14 21 11 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 14 38 21 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 57 128 96 3
VCDI 0 0 0 0 31 870 15311 15402
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 5 10 10 6 0 0
OW 0 0 1 4 23 4 0 0
VODI 0 8 2 6 19 21 0 0
ODI 0 3 5 12 24 25 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 14 49 101 129 13
VCDI 0 0 0 1 38 879 15278 15392

Date: 2022-04-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 5 8 11 5 0 0 0
OW 0 30 11 18 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 9 24 38 11 11 0 0
ODI 0 6 10 54 45 31 2 0
CDI 0 3 3 53 88 149 84 1
VCDI 0 0 1 106 427 3381 12587 14868
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 15 8 7 0 0 0
OW 0 3 9 15 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 36 14 41 8 2 0 0
ODI 0 11 15 46 33 26 5 0
CDI 0 3 4 64 81 135 92 15
VCDI 0 0 0 106 446 3409 12576 14854


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