Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2022-04-21

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-04-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 1 26 20 30 2 0
ODI 0 0 0 46 87 62 36 0
CDI 0 4 7 67 231 175 154 0
VCDI 0 1 19 94 359 1423 16735 26285
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-04-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 5 1 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 11 25 12 12 8 0
ODI 0 0 3 28 83 69 14 0
CDI 0 0 1 37 198 235 136 0
VCDI 0 1 8 87 431 1228 15361 27871
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-04-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 0
VODI 0 0 0 3 10 9 24 0
ODI 0 0 0 9 38 35 35 0
CDI 0 0 0 12 117 315 332 0
VCDI 0 0 0 20 241 1199 13056 30407
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-04-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 1 1 0 4 0
VODI 0 0 1 1 11 4 26 0
ODI 0 0 0 11 32 14 26 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 127 167 167 0
VCDI 0 0 0 8 273 1332 14946 28710
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 1 3 10 4 30 0
ODI 0 0 0 9 35 14 28 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 108 129 161 0
VCDI 0 0 0 8 290 1370 14950 28710

Date: 2022-04-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 1 4 5 2 24 0
ODI 0 0 0 15 30 30 34 1
CDI 0 0 0 5 100 129 254 7
VCDI 0 0 0 1 175 1598 16159 27290
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 1 7 7 2 25 0
ODI 0 0 0 13 31 29 31 1
CDI 0 0 0 4 87 111 274 6
VCDI 0 0 0 1 185 1617 16141 27291

Date: 2022-04-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 2 2 8 10 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 11 44 55 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 16 121 291 103 0
VCDI 0 0 0 12 326 1318 14784 28762
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 0 2 13 7 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 8 27 42 10 0
CDI 0 1 0 19 100 183 140 0
VCDI 0 0 0 17 361 1433 14737 28762

Date: 2022-04-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 2 2 7 6 0 0 0
ODI 0 5 7 20 27 16 0 0
CDI 0 0 4 64 108 200 91 4
VCDI 0 2 1 125 499 1628 17243 25805
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 0 2 7 1 0 0
ODI 0 4 8 12 42 48 1 0
CDI 0 2 3 42 85 124 125 3
VCDI 0 2 3 160 505 1671 17208 25806

Date: 2022-04-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1 0 0 3 1 0 0
VODI 0 6 0 8 11 5 1 0
ODI 0 14 5 18 29 13 24 0
CDI 0 16 7 37 113 139 176 10
VCDI 0 15 21 94 625 1793 16066 26615
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1 0 0 1 5 1 0
VODI 0 7 1 2 1 5 21 0
ODI 0 13 5 30 35 31 36 0
CDI 0 17 7 42 149 239 249 9
VCDI 0 14 20 83 595 1671 15960 26616


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