Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2022-04-21

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-04-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61028 20528 2118 757 303 130 43 0
OW 61 245 210 448 272 81 28 0
VODI 0 85 121 409 522 230 49 0
ODI 0 17 39 244 621 476 164 0
CDI 0 6 14 209 902 1161 798 4
VCDI 0 2 25 170 806 4780 37208 51734
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-04-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62396 19420 1923 752 342 139 57 0
OW 67 334 212 331 286 111 27 0
VODI 0 111 165 372 470 266 58 0
ODI 0 15 51 241 480 558 142 0
CDI 0 1 16 156 805 1198 688 10
VCDI 0 2 14 173 934 5459 36442 51824
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-04-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61074 21425 1457 566 210 62 68 0
OW 61 292 280 409 212 58 17 0
VODI 0 65 151 480 502 219 47 0
ODI 0 7 28 210 703 455 122 0
CDI 0 3 5 107 608 1639 849 3
VCDI 0 0 2 75 616 4776 34420 54765
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-04-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63161 19319 1447 673 215 33 64 0
OW 61 358 253 421 264 76 17 0
VODI 1 114 128 471 610 272 64 0
ODI 0 14 53 173 473 443 132 0
CDI 0 5 31 123 594 1571 638 0
VCDI 0 2 4 91 800 5650 36735 51494
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63161 19338 1466 675 250 39 64 0
OW 61 324 259 492 257 90 12 0
VODI 1 121 98 418 611 267 65 0
ODI 0 19 57 147 480 467 135 0
CDI 0 8 31 129 560 1477 621 0
VCDI 0 2 5 91 798 5705 36753 51494

Date: 2022-04-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63801 19095 948 846 213 38 51 0
OW 52 297 233 481 478 83 21 0
VODI 0 87 139 467 527 242 106 0
ODI 0 10 36 201 454 442 203 1
CDI 0 5 18 104 706 1359 784 10
VCDI 0 3 5 58 428 5202 37456 51358
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63801 19078 972 933 267 41 53 0
OW 52 296 223 439 407 95 22 0
VODI 0 99 117 435 591 241 98 0
ODI 0 14 43 176 460 501 210 1
CDI 0 7 19 130 669 1306 814 7
VCDI 0 3 5 44 412 5182 37424 51361

Date: 2022-04-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63409 18463 1678 893 228 60 57 0
OW 62 208 302 553 326 44 5 0
VODI 0 43 109 500 765 166 14 0
ODI 0 2 16 179 572 624 76 0
CDI 0 1 8 121 570 1696 765 0
VCDI 0 0 0 14 434 4946 36939 52200
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63404 18438 1717 1140 533 94 61 0
OW 66 195 240 350 433 141 19 0
VODI 1 63 106 360 482 353 75 0
ODI 0 15 32 195 393 573 199 0
CDI 0 6 18 158 426 1194 913 0
VCDI 0 0 0 57 628 5181 36589 52200

Date: 2022-04-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57298 19650 6659 996 270 66 35 0
OW 58 141 196 631 372 59 14 0
VODI 0 60 78 446 689 277 24 0
ODI 0 19 32 185 495 526 109 0
CDI 0 0 11 200 653 1522 864 7
VCDI 0 2 1 147 771 5436 41425 46624
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57298 19401 6646 1285 607 124 52 0
OW 58 290 128 355 396 161 23 0
VODI 0 103 111 349 435 362 88 0
ODI 0 49 52 190 440 601 201 0
CDI 0 27 37 203 492 1105 795 16
VCDI 0 2 3 223 880 5533 41312 46615

Date: 2022-04-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57891 19774 5566 1133 450 100 14 0
OW 51 281 183 488 479 109 4 0
VODI 0 95 108 365 655 353 70 0
ODI 0 32 24 211 500 490 138 0
CDI 0 28 12 188 806 1381 759 11
VCDI 0 26 47 261 1481 9316 38571 44597
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57891 19712 5564 1303 756 208 27 0
OW 51 269 130 303 515 216 38 0
VODI 0 130 95 308 433 366 107 0
ODI 0 50 62 202 389 541 241 0
CDI 0 53 43 232 731 1336 830 24
VCDI 0 22 46 298 1547 9082 38313 44584


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