Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2022-04-14

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-04-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64383 17321 1218 759 303 93 101 0
OW 61 285 185 360 253 108 63 0
VODI 0 134 169 269 416 189 111 0
ODI 0 34 68 201 378 443 150 0
CDI 0 4 18 158 451 768 472 0
VCDI 0 0 0 74 560 2347 9869 6324
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-04-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59459 21598 1925 804 276 112 120 0
OW 52 342 175 390 197 102 74 0
VODI 0 162 155 342 357 222 113 0
ODI 0 34 103 239 305 445 145 0
CDI 0 2 30 222 572 715 470 0
VCDI 0 0 0 60 459 1689 9762 6871
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-04-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62855 19002 1808 782 284 74 67 0
OW 61 309 202 327 211 72 36 0
VODI 0 161 188 282 396 136 41 0
ODI 0 30 72 231 451 376 117 0
CDI 0 5 23 148 598 857 822 0
VCDI 0 0 0 49 248 2057 9591 6131
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-04-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64577 17055 2109 699 299 98 40 0
OW 61 225 206 433 221 93 20 0
VODI 0 79 120 390 427 188 41 0
ODI 0 15 39 250 453 363 136 0
CDI 0 1 5 188 522 1072 704 0
VCDI 0 0 1 50 309 1967 9060 6584
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64577 17081 2120 728 289 92 39 0
OW 61 198 190 400 217 92 19 0
VODI 0 74 123 382 416 168 41 0
ODI 0 21 43 257 473 366 129 0
CDI 0 1 3 198 520 1059 772 0
VCDI 0 0 1 45 316 2004 9001 6584

Date: 2022-04-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63260 18759 1583 774 295 143 46 0
OW 66 267 233 350 256 100 17 0
VODI 0 90 133 311 463 272 38 0
ODI 0 23 36 174 405 489 134 0
CDI 0 1 8 105 603 940 432 0
VCDI 0 2 5 55 263 2206 10008 5755
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63262 18787 1613 826 303 131 44 0
OW 64 244 220 300 259 106 18 0
VODI 0 87 119 325 441 307 40 0
ODI 0 21 33 162 437 434 130 0
CDI 0 1 8 98 562 909 406 0
VCDI 0 2 5 58 283 2263 10037 5755

Date: 2022-04-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59421 23052 1216 595 203 76 63 0
OW 68 341 322 382 209 50 13 0
VODI 0 85 152 503 447 153 30 0
ODI 0 6 21 176 855 430 59 0
CDI 0 3 11 88 419 1178 369 0
VCDI 0 1 4 61 149 2041 9952 5896
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59431 23054 1334 757 288 119 75 0
OW 58 276 183 318 264 72 22 0
VODI 0 129 144 318 507 235 66 0
ODI 0 22 45 201 408 314 126 0
CDI 0 4 13 120 486 770 313 0
VCDI 0 3 7 91 329 2418 9884 5896

Date: 2022-04-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62856 19457 1572 562 195 49 48 0
OW 67 333 241 418 178 79 16 0
VODI 0 114 171 399 483 233 26 0
ODI 0 17 35 174 495 372 100 0
CDI 0 4 15 101 434 1274 362 0
VCDI 0 1 3 39 264 3145 10198 4570
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62862 19367 1610 714 275 88 68 0
OW 61 326 166 319 247 108 26 0
VODI 0 173 140 297 478 276 73 0
ODI 0 49 69 148 327 420 153 0
CDI 0 9 43 106 372 919 313 0
VCDI 0 2 9 109 350 3341 10117 4570

Date: 2022-04-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64495 18346 993 753 273 52 39 0
OW 53 285 218 452 436 86 6 0
VODI 0 109 106 386 562 256 40 0
ODI 0 15 44 122 401 469 92 0
CDI 0 7 22 108 443 1325 355 0
VCDI 0 0 4 50 328 3294 9054 5021
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64495 18267 988 946 384 90 50 0
OW 53 290 133 275 279 120 24 0
VODI 0 163 130 274 532 262 72 0
ODI 0 34 81 143 338 525 132 0
CDI 0 8 52 155 397 936 314 0
VCDI 0 0 3 78 513 3549 8994 5021


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