Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2022-04-14

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-04-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64383 17350 1235 804 331 93 101 0
OW 61 287 194 384 267 108 63 0
VODI 0 134 171 314 456 200 111 0
ODI 0 34 70 232 418 483 153 0
CDI 0 6 37 204 585 994 684 27
VCDI 0 0 5 185 1214 4586 36055 54029
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-04-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59459 21617 1939 831 316 112 120 0
OW 52 342 177 402 232 102 74 0
VODI 0 162 155 351 430 231 113 0
ODI 0 34 103 248 378 490 148 0
CDI 0 6 38 250 766 949 596 19
VCDI 0 2 3 119 856 4198 32505 58123
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-04-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62855 19011 1823 833 317 74 67 0
OW 61 309 205 361 238 72 36 0
VODI 0 161 191 325 478 151 41 0
ODI 0 33 78 275 591 453 119 0
CDI 0 8 37 189 813 1147 920 0
VCDI 0 3 10 127 696 5000 30196 58744
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-04-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64577 17065 2124 768 323 98 40 0
OW 61 225 207 461 243 93 20 0
VODI 0 80 126 455 485 222 41 0
ODI 0 18 43 301 599 428 148 0
CDI 0 1 13 235 784 1297 868 3
VCDI 0 1 14 212 824 4722 33136 55687
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64577 17091 2135 800 316 94 39 0
OW 61 198 191 429 251 106 19 0
VODI 0 75 129 432 475 191 45 0
ODI 0 24 48 323 598 438 139 0
CDI 0 1 9 241 776 1277 941 3
VCDI 0 1 15 207 842 4754 33070 55687

Date: 2022-04-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63260 18760 1602 806 340 147 46 0
OW 66 271 233 357 293 108 17 0
VODI 0 91 145 345 526 309 39 0
ODI 0 24 38 221 549 592 160 0
CDI 0 3 10 171 916 1245 635 5
VCDI 0 2 18 146 825 4994 36493 52240
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63262 18788 1632 858 354 136 44 0
OW 64 246 220 307 295 119 18 0
VODI 0 90 130 359 508 357 42 0
ODI 0 21 36 214 587 538 160 0
CDI 0 3 8 154 878 1198 604 2
VCDI 0 3 20 154 827 5047 36522 52243

Date: 2022-04-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59421 23052 1243 629 215 82 63 0
OW 68 341 325 398 229 60 13 0
VODI 0 85 155 537 487 199 41 0
ODI 0 6 25 209 969 566 97 0
CDI 0 3 12 114 670 1658 649 12
VCDI 0 1 4 104 610 4486 36969 52241
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59431 23054 1360 793 306 130 75 0
OW 58 276 187 333 285 81 22 0
VODI 0 129 147 354 534 287 73 0
ODI 0 22 46 219 508 424 154 0
CDI 0 4 16 139 648 1118 579 20
VCDI 0 3 8 153 899 5011 36929 52233

Date: 2022-04-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62856 19457 1601 580 206 49 48 0
OW 67 333 253 428 192 92 20 0
VODI 0 122 183 427 515 247 50 0
ODI 0 17 39 209 547 428 136 0
CDI 0 4 15 131 600 1631 696 3
VCDI 0 1 3 74 685 5808 35257 53038
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62862 19367 1638 733 290 99 68 0
OW 61 326 177 329 266 118 27 0
VODI 0 174 150 327 504 294 100 0
ODI 0 55 75 181 420 463 193 0
CDI 0 10 45 134 509 1250 632 5
VCDI 0 2 9 145 756 6031 35187 53036

Date: 2022-04-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64495 18346 993 764 289 70 39 0
OW 53 285 218 459 450 111 6 0
VODI 0 109 107 387 596 302 74 0
ODI 0 15 44 130 455 532 109 0
CDI 0 7 22 110 562 1613 624 0
VCDI 0 0 4 76 796 5735 35158 52903
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64495 18267 988 957 401 123 50 0
OW 53 290 134 282 291 144 27 0
VODI 0 163 130 275 559 313 97 0
ODI 0 34 81 150 393 586 161 0
CDI 0 8 52 158 526 1275 730 5
VCDI 0 0 3 104 978 5922 34945 52898


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