Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2022-04-07

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-04-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 61 51 28 0 0 0 0
OW 0 9 20 40 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 3 29 26 14 0 0 0
ODI 0 6 16 29 23 6 0 0
CDI 0 2 5 21 48 93 74 6
VCDI 0 0 19 95 195 1010 11177 18971
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-04-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 65 33 14 3 0 0 0
OW 0 9 20 26 13 0 0 0
VODI 0 7 20 27 23 0 0 0
ODI 0 3 17 18 25 8 0 0
CDI 0 4 6 21 37 58 42 1
VCDI 0 0 8 88 133 619 11063 19671
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-04-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 41 25 49 15 0 0 0
OW 0 1 3 30 33 1 0 0
VODI 0 2 2 39 36 8 0 0
ODI 0 2 8 21 39 15 5 0
CDI 0 1 6 20 61 113 56 0
VCDI 0 0 1 95 126 547 10562 20119
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-04-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 32 17 72 2 0 0 0
OW 0 3 9 33 11 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 11 47 14 2 0 0
ODI 0 2 7 34 21 10 2 0
CDI 0 3 13 24 66 89 51 16
VCDI 0 0 1 101 429 1055 11420 18485
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 33 17 75 3 0 0 0
OW 0 2 11 28 9 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 9 47 15 1 0 0
ODI 0 1 7 35 21 9 1 0
CDI 0 4 13 23 68 91 51 14
VCDI 0 0 1 103 427 1055 11421 18487

Date: 2022-04-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 28 12 48 22 0 0 0
OW 0 1 6 22 20 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 2 34 32 2 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 12 41 8 6 0
CDI 0 0 0 12 51 123 92 20
VCDI 0 0 0 1 201 1197 9668 20421
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 29 12 51 23 0 0 0
OW 0 0 5 20 17 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 3 33 31 2 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 8 39 9 5 0
CDI 0 0 0 10 52 127 109 17
VCDI 0 0 0 7 205 1192 9652 20424

Date: 2022-04-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 8 17 25 42 0 0 0
OW 0 0 1 12 38 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 1 14 73 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 12 68 35 2 0
CDI 0 0 3 17 69 87 25 0
VCDI 0 0 0 13 215 1502 9209 20592
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 8 18 26 40 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 8 37 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 8 50 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 7 47 23 1 0
CDI 0 0 1 14 84 90 21 2
VCDI 0 0 3 30 247 1511 9214 20590

Date: 2022-04-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 6 12 75 21 0 0 0
OW 0 0 2 36 20 0 0 0
VODI 0 2 13 28 28 12 0 0
ODI 0 2 6 30 22 29 5 0
CDI 0 1 4 16 47 83 38 0
VCDI 0 4 18 43 398 1528 9605 19948
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 6 11 56 15 0 0 0
OW 0 0 1 21 16 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 1 26 18 4 0 0
ODI 0 1 9 20 17 15 6 0
CDI 0 5 16 38 57 119 56 5
VCDI 0 3 17 67 413 1514 9586 19943

Date: 2022-04-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 9 19 41 38 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 28 27 3 0 0
VODI 0 0 2 24 28 8 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 19 45 21 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 10 59 75 16 4
VCDI 0 0 1 39 227 1409 11288 18640
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 9 19 21 22 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 14 24 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 18 19 5 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 19 22 27 12 0
CDI 0 0 2 29 63 136 107 9
VCDI 0 0 1 60 274 1348 11185 18635


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