Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2022-04-07

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-04-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 5 3 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 13 32 12 0 0
CDI 0 3 0 22 174 44 30 0
VCDI 0 0 0 37 436 1904 19370 23781
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-04-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 5 6 8 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 23 46 22 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 30 212 143 43 0
VCDI 0 0 0 36 489 1812 18141 24850
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-04-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 3 10 9 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 20 31 16 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 42 186 121 113 0
VCDI 0 0 0 20 236 1832 15533 27693
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-04-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 7 10 11 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 30 14 1 0
CDI 0 1 5 19 81 78 126 0
VCDI 0 0 1 59 218 1368 14830 29007
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 3 6 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 7 23 12 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 30 22 2 0
CDI 0 1 4 34 99 87 127 0
VCDI 0 0 2 44 184 1344 14828 29007

Date: 2022-04-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 19 9 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 3 17 24 0 0
CDI 0 1 3 32 113 143 86 7
VCDI 0 0 1 59 240 1195 14715 29199
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 20 22 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 3 21 29 0 0
CDI 0 1 3 44 145 155 104 9
VCDI 0 0 1 47 198 1165 14697 29197

Date: 2022-04-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 2 26 4 0 0
ODI 0 3 3 13 104 40 2 0
CDI 0 6 12 22 141 202 104 0
VCDI 0 0 5 49 129 1257 12198 31544
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 44 16 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 8 40 29 0 0
CDI 0 7 9 19 146 147 90 0
VCDI 0 2 11 59 170 1311 12214 31544

Date: 2022-04-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 3 0 3 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 28 52 4 0 0
ODI 0 2 2 45 110 41 1 0
CDI 0 0 9 44 182 119 72 0
VCDI 0 3 1 70 205 1179 11389 32302
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 4 49 26 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 32 33 49 9 0
CDI 0 2 7 72 209 91 110 0
VCDI 0 3 5 82 258 1180 11343 32302

Date: 2022-04-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 1 26 20 30 2 0
ODI 0 0 0 46 87 62 36 0
CDI 0 4 7 67 231 175 154 0
VCDI 0 1 19 94 359 1423 16735 26285
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 1 4 5 49 29 0
ODI 0 0 0 42 75 63 33 0
CDI 0 2 5 74 249 201 111 0
VCDI 0 3 21 115 368 1377 16754 26285


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