Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2022-04-07

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-04-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59497 21278 1959 802 256 132 93 0
OW 52 324 293 490 341 81 42 0
VODI 0 120 216 380 450 244 97 0
ODI 0 49 73 264 390 449 253 0
CDI 0 18 22 140 632 841 690 6
VCDI 0 0 19 237 1322 5771 39739 48986
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-04-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60461 20661 1826 807 288 123 87 0
OW 52 365 286 387 290 115 44 0
VODI 0 199 235 260 402 271 107 0
ODI 0 84 98 278 300 377 259 0
CDI 0 29 22 201 577 760 585 1
VCDI 0 1 9 194 1136 5277 39340 50254
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-04-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60656 20846 1780 763 206 70 82 0
OW 52 234 259 427 277 72 26 0
VODI 0 115 169 392 415 202 49 0
ODI 0 51 63 331 526 359 157 0
CDI 0 10 9 177 669 1177 665 0
VCDI 0 2 5 191 793 4899 36172 53700
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-04-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63751 18119 1283 800 269 91 105 0
OW 52 252 216 402 265 114 60 0
VODI 0 123 142 365 413 216 100 0
ODI 0 26 66 288 399 402 208 0
CDI 0 12 36 163 582 1064 664 16
VCDI 0 2 15 269 1154 4543 36598 53403
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63751 18171 1307 882 305 100 108 0
OW 52 228 198 339 273 105 55 0
VODI 0 100 129 343 395 215 105 0
ODI 0 22 68 273 390 401 187 0
CDI 0 11 37 190 618 1064 693 14
VCDI 0 2 19 260 1101 4545 36587 53405

Date: 2022-04-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62981 18550 1492 774 312 95 101 0
OW 53 305 185 345 263 124 74 0
VODI 0 126 178 358 381 267 115 0
ODI 0 28 78 217 407 458 176 0
CDI 0 6 21 212 711 959 703 27
VCDI 0 0 1 101 951 4306 34150 56457
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62981 18609 1486 805 335 99 107 0
OW 53 245 201 305 261 113 60 0
VODI 0 128 159 356 356 276 113 0
ODI 0 30 76 206 402 478 169 0
CDI 0 3 31 222 737 1008 740 26
VCDI 0 0 2 113 934 4235 34130 56458

Date: 2022-04-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60312 20702 2389 689 263 63 77 0
OW 52 303 230 494 255 62 29 0
VODI 0 165 203 400 492 146 57 0
ODI 0 47 90 269 662 475 98 0
CDI 0 8 32 207 835 1281 663 0
VCDI 0 0 5 68 639 4549 30718 59019
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60312 20605 2331 735 377 100 104 0
OW 52 339 215 309 238 90 61 0
VODI 0 184 204 344 387 216 121 0
ODI 0 72 117 297 363 463 164 0
CDI 0 23 63 251 809 765 617 2
VCDI 0 2 19 191 972 4942 30575 59017

Date: 2022-04-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64232 17935 1682 793 318 97 55 0
OW 61 246 210 364 227 102 29 0
VODI 0 128 140 408 479 194 39 0
ODI 0 39 62 294 576 445 135 0
CDI 0 13 26 203 775 1169 926 0
VCDI 0 7 28 184 893 5039 30092 58403
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64232 17572 1557 719 355 142 96 0
OW 61 361 173 304 232 108 46 0
VODI 0 214 193 315 382 290 123 0
ODI 0 134 116 271 382 427 193 0
CDI 0 54 55 342 750 794 758 5
VCDI 0 33 54 295 1167 5285 30060 58398

Date: 2022-04-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61028 20528 2118 757 303 130 43 0
OW 61 245 210 448 272 81 28 0
VODI 0 85 121 409 522 230 49 0
ODI 0 17 39 244 621 476 164 0
CDI 0 6 14 209 902 1161 798 4
VCDI 0 2 25 170 806 4780 37208 51734
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61027 20116 2021 700 305 144 83 0
OW 62 325 190 340 288 95 44 0
VODI 0 227 146 327 458 301 151 0
ODI 0 178 86 279 406 426 269 0
CDI 0 32 56 291 814 912 703 9
VCDI 0 5 28 300 1155 4980 37040 51729


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