Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2022-03-31

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-03-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57985 20510 3483 853 452 211 16 0
OW 52 295 264 460 323 177 13 0
VODI 0 212 94 449 591 262 30 0
ODI 0 69 56 227 465 479 74 0
CDI 0 4 35 135 460 860 355 0
VCDI 0 92 130 303 622 4860 9384 3758
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-03-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59157 20141 2566 905 505 260 73 0
OW 53 308 266 362 320 210 53 0
VODI 0 200 156 299 446 346 142 0
ODI 0 77 71 206 385 468 227 0
CDI 0 5 54 170 356 609 411 0
VCDI 0 37 110 305 728 3834 10178 4101
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-03-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60121 18343 3945 762 249 115 80 0
OW 52 238 353 533 232 88 53 0
VODI 0 92 177 492 566 176 65 0
ODI 0 38 53 226 497 411 283 0
CDI 0 0 11 137 427 739 671 0
VCDI 0 8 88 212 634 3032 9525 5376
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-03-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61627 18550 2300 798 272 103 91 0
OW 52 287 292 527 361 82 51 0
VODI 0 91 195 349 449 218 99 0
ODI 0 26 56 240 340 393 294 0
CDI 0 6 9 133 426 721 688 0
VCDI 0 1 6 188 816 2562 8609 6792
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61627 18550 2335 983 434 113 96 0
OW 52 286 264 353 243 89 50 0
VODI 0 89 187 364 408 225 86 0
ODI 0 30 52 220 362 369 241 0
CDI 0 5 14 118 373 666 728 0
VCDI 0 1 6 197 844 2617 8631 6792

Date: 2022-04-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58040 22573 1907 928 309 144 98 0
OW 52 346 236 373 367 116 41 0
VODI 0 151 190 285 398 276 109 0
ODI 0 61 71 238 252 405 270 0
CDI 0 15 17 122 322 637 558 0
VCDI 0 0 1 120 629 3116 10405 4922
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58040 22577 1927 1007 482 171 100 0
OW 52 335 224 274 239 96 34 0
VODI 0 155 192 304 345 293 83 0
ODI 0 68 58 247 254 348 278 0
CDI 0 11 20 107 299 621 557 0
VCDI 0 0 1 127 658 3165 10429 4922

Date: 2022-04-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59838 20961 2288 667 137 83 75 0
OW 52 273 355 407 258 67 34 0
VODI 0 111 188 381 364 151 43 0
ODI 0 97 52 279 452 438 92 0
CDI 0 12 6 81 405 889 582 0
VCDI 0 0 1 54 323 2544 10231 5829
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59838 20908 2228 810 308 132 109 0
OW 52 292 287 269 246 109 47 0
VODI 0 127 247 289 298 279 106 0
ODI 0 107 96 216 210 286 250 0
CDI 0 18 29 188 340 473 549 0
VCDI 0 2 3 97 537 2893 9996 5829

Date: 2022-04-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63359 18771 1149 667 239 71 99 0
OW 52 240 206 371 261 95 36 0
VODI 0 124 151 297 404 199 65 0
ODI 0 28 65 261 375 372 174 0
CDI 0 5 15 104 438 1051 523 0
VCDI 0 2 7 79 412 2341 10743 5249
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63359 18474 1029 680 341 141 145 0
OW 52 379 224 287 242 108 76 0
VODI 0 223 155 278 348 243 155 0
ODI 0 82 94 189 269 390 210 0
CDI 0 9 78 207 401 695 458 0
VCDI 0 3 13 138 528 2552 10596 5249

Date: 2022-04-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64383 17321 1218 759 303 93 101 0
OW 61 285 185 360 253 108 63 0
VODI 0 134 169 269 416 189 111 0
ODI 0 34 68 201 378 443 150 0
CDI 0 4 18 158 451 768 472 0
VCDI 0 0 0 74 560 2347 9869 6324
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64383 17155 1168 736 385 141 146 0
OW 61 346 179 270 271 140 93 0
VODI 0 169 149 271 320 280 181 0
ODI 0 86 84 204 297 382 225 0
CDI 0 22 65 214 449 566 462 0
VCDI 0 0 13 126 639 2439 9659 6324


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