Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2022-03-31

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-03-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 87 33 25 20 3 0 0
OW 0 19 17 15 17 0 0 0
VODI 0 31 15 13 13 1 0 0
ODI 0 23 18 12 38 8 0 0
CDI 0 32 16 17 86 80 55 0
VCDI 0 47 61 131 204 1374 9359 20212
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-03-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 70 23 32 23 3 0 0
OW 0 17 13 26 21 1 0 0
VODI 0 27 9 17 19 0 0 0
ODI 0 24 7 18 11 9 0 0
CDI 0 31 10 7 37 98 67 2
VCDI 0 64 61 108 125 810 10156 20136
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-03-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 3 83 93 1 0 0 0
OW 0 4 22 45 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 2 23 48 3 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 12 39 6 4 5 0
CDI 0 0 16 15 42 158 93 0
VCDI 0 3 77 64 85 846 12245 18041
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-03-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 29 74 39 1 0 0 0
OW 0 3 28 40 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 6 30 29 6 0 0 0
ODI 0 6 28 18 18 2 0 0
CDI 0 0 8 23 49 87 60 0
VCDI 0 0 35 92 126 1007 9706 20530
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 29 73 43 1 0 0 0
OW 0 3 28 37 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 7 30 30 7 0 0 0
ODI 0 5 27 16 21 4 0 0
CDI 0 0 10 23 46 92 66 2
VCDI 0 0 35 92 125 1000 9700 20528

Date: 2022-04-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 63 40 24 1 0 0 0
OW 0 20 12 27 13 0 0 0
VODI 0 11 22 23 16 0 0 0
ODI 0 7 26 18 29 3 1 0
CDI 0 3 7 18 30 90 83 2
VCDI 0 1 15 85 159 985 11318 18930
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 67 35 27 4 0 0 0
OW 0 14 16 24 12 0 0 0
VODI 0 12 22 23 14 0 0 0
ODI 0 7 25 18 31 5 1 0
CDI 0 4 9 17 33 91 93 2
VCDI 0 1 15 86 154 982 11308 18930

Date: 2022-04-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 50 36 32 7 0 0 0
OW 0 2 10 36 28 0 0 0
VODI 0 3 3 42 27 9 0 0
ODI 0 1 10 22 42 18 2 0
CDI 0 0 5 11 36 95 37 0
VCDI 0 0 0 55 125 552 11088 19698
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 49 31 29 2 0 0 0
OW 0 3 9 28 21 0 0 0
VODI 0 3 8 31 25 5 0 0
ODI 0 0 5 27 29 12 0 0
CDI 0 1 8 21 49 76 87 0
VCDI 0 0 3 62 139 581 11040 19698

Date: 2022-04-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 43 41 38 0 0 0 0
OW 0 3 22 30 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 9 21 36 13 0 0 0
ODI 0 14 11 32 27 6 2 0
CDI 0 5 12 31 74 68 35 8
VCDI 0 0 1 132 251 830 11252 19031
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 37 30 27 0 0 0 0
OW 0 7 24 21 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 9 22 33 7 0 0 0
ODI 0 10 17 37 29 16 5 0
CDI 0 11 8 40 62 81 69 1
VCDI 0 0 7 141 269 807 11215 19038

Date: 2022-04-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 29 17 45 28 0 0 0
OW 0 2 9 24 14 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 2 43 25 2 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 29 27 14 3 0
CDI 0 1 5 28 62 94 92 26
VCDI 0 0 0 41 409 1103 11342 18565
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 25 14 36 17 0 0 0
OW 0 3 4 23 19 0 0 0
VODI 0 2 7 33 25 4 0 0
ODI 0 1 2 33 27 25 7 0
CDI 0 1 7 27 55 119 90 2
VCDI 0 0 0 58 422 1065 11340 18589


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