Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2022-03-31

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-03-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 3 22 10 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 44 231 155 0
VCDI 0 0 0 20 227 2219 15530 27404
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-03-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 15 6 0 0
CDI 0 3 0 10 104 93 26 0
VCDI 0 0 0 25 362 2433 14851 27938
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-03-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 1 4 5 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 20 33 14 0 0
CDI 0 2 0 17 133 104 26 38
VCDI 0 0 0 33 385 2227 14611 28212
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-03-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 3 2 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 8 26 13 0 0
CDI 0 2 0 10 169 108 26 0
VCDI 0 0 1 41 410 1653 16400 26994
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 3 3 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 7 28 18 0 0
CDI 0 1 0 10 174 106 18 0
VCDI 0 1 1 42 402 1650 16408 26994

Date: 2022-04-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 3 8 11 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 33 37 12 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 34 154 68 33 0
VCDI 0 0 1 45 541 1642 20002 23240
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 3 6 13 3 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 34 42 10 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 30 148 72 28 0
VCDI 0 0 1 50 540 1638 20007 23240

Date: 2022-04-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 10 15 2 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 19 89 44 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 57 306 188 31 0
VCDI 0 0 0 8 255 1637 16352 26850
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 1 9 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 15 45 22 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 25 182 104 47 0
VCDI 0 0 0 53 429 1744 16337 26850

Date: 2022-04-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 7 9 11 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 9 32 8 6 0
CDI 0 0 1 40 93 58 141 1
VCDI 0 0 0 42 220 1684 14134 29370
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 5 7 8 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 8 20 9 7 0
CDI 0 0 1 20 32 21 216 2
VCDI 0 0 0 65 295 1721 14058 29369

Date: 2022-04-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 2 15 9 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 2 13 26 0 0
CDI 0 1 14 18 72 132 120 1
VCDI 0 0 5 70 245 1136 14844 29140
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 1 7 7 0 0
ODI 0 1 1 3 13 13 16 0
CDI 0 0 9 9 25 83 178 0
VCDI 0 0 10 79 299 1199 14770 29141


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