Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2022-03-31

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-03-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57985 20597 3516 878 472 214 16 0
OW 52 314 281 475 340 177 13 0
VODI 0 243 109 462 604 263 30 0
ODI 0 92 74 239 506 509 84 0
CDI 0 36 51 153 590 1171 565 0
VCDI 0 139 191 454 1053 8453 34273 51374
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-03-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59157 20211 2589 937 528 263 73 0
OW 53 325 279 388 341 211 53 0
VODI 0 227 165 316 465 346 142 0
ODI 0 101 78 224 411 483 227 0
CDI 0 39 64 187 497 800 504 2
VCDI 0 101 171 438 1215 7077 35185 52175
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-03-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60121 18346 4028 855 250 115 80 0
OW 52 242 375 578 236 88 53 0
VODI 0 94 201 544 574 176 65 0
ODI 0 38 66 285 536 429 288 0
CDI 0 2 27 169 602 1001 790 38
VCDI 0 11 165 309 1104 6105 36381 51629
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-03-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61627 18579 2374 837 273 103 91 0
OW 52 290 320 567 363 82 51 0
VODI 0 97 225 381 457 218 99 0
ODI 0 32 84 266 384 408 294 0
CDI 0 8 17 166 644 916 774 0
VCDI 0 1 42 321 1352 5222 34715 54316
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61627 18579 2408 1026 435 113 96 0
OW 52 289 292 390 245 89 50 0
VODI 0 96 217 397 418 225 86 0
ODI 0 35 79 243 411 391 241 0
CDI 0 6 24 151 593 864 812 2
VCDI 0 2 42 331 1371 5267 34739 54314

Date: 2022-04-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58040 22636 1947 952 310 144 98 0
OW 52 366 248 400 380 116 41 0
VODI 0 163 215 316 425 277 109 0
ODI 0 68 97 289 318 420 271 0
CDI 0 18 24 174 506 795 674 2
VCDI 0 1 17 250 1329 5743 41725 47092
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58040 22644 1962 1034 486 171 100 0
OW 52 349 240 298 251 96 34 0
VODI 0 168 217 333 372 296 83 0
ODI 0 75 83 299 327 363 279 0
CDI 0 15 29 154 480 784 678 2
VCDI 0 1 17 263 1352 5785 41744 47092

Date: 2022-04-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59838 21011 2324 699 144 83 75 0
OW 52 275 365 443 286 67 34 0
VODI 0 114 191 433 406 162 43 0
ODI 0 98 62 320 583 500 97 0
CDI 0 12 11 149 747 1172 650 0
VCDI 0 0 1 117 703 4733 37671 52377
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59838 20957 2259 839 310 132 109 0
OW 52 295 296 297 267 109 47 0
VODI 0 130 255 321 332 285 106 0
ODI 0 107 101 258 284 320 252 0
CDI 0 19 37 234 571 653 683 0
VCDI 0 2 6 212 1105 5218 37373 52377

Date: 2022-04-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63359 18814 1190 705 239 71 99 0
OW 52 243 228 401 265 95 36 0
VODI 0 133 172 340 426 210 65 0
ODI 0 42 76 302 434 386 182 0
CDI 0 10 28 175 605 1177 699 9
VCDI 0 2 8 253 883 4855 36129 53650
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63359 18511 1059 707 341 141 145 0
OW 52 386 248 308 244 110 76 0
VODI 0 232 177 316 362 251 155 0
ODI 0 92 111 234 318 415 222 0
CDI 0 20 87 267 495 797 743 3
VCDI 0 3 20 344 1092 5080 35869 53656

Date: 2022-04-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64383 17350 1235 804 331 93 101 0
OW 61 287 194 384 267 108 63 0
VODI 0 134 171 314 456 200 111 0
ODI 0 34 70 232 418 483 153 0
CDI 0 6 37 204 585 994 684 27
VCDI 0 0 5 185 1214 4586 36055 54029
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64383 17180 1182 772 402 141 146 0
OW 61 349 183 293 291 141 93 0
VODI 0 171 156 305 352 291 181 0
ODI 0 88 87 240 337 420 248 0
CDI 0 23 81 250 529 768 730 2
VCDI 0 0 23 263 1360 4703 35769 54054


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