Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2022-03-24

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-03-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60814 19037 1794 1308 628 241 117 0
OW 56 481 235 292 314 198 62 0
VODI 0 184 156 403 333 346 80 0
ODI 0 65 61 276 446 440 75 0
CDI 0 72 51 159 633 975 342 0
VCDI 0 263 202 236 1046 4464 10279 1936
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-03-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58028 20808 2330 1185 780 362 137 0
OW 52 532 238 296 249 295 77 0
VODI 0 177 211 330 379 396 94 0
ODI 0 76 55 231 401 464 144 0
CDI 0 110 34 121 638 1318 485 0
VCDI 0 266 174 269 578 3895 10576 2309
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-03-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 54678 20471 7221 983 489 171 57 0
OW 59 193 393 359 306 90 27 0
VODI 0 87 189 435 476 235 18 0
ODI 0 50 74 272 496 402 118 0
CDI 0 106 70 149 624 1044 301 0
VCDI 0 182 190 244 775 4620 10096 2350
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-03-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57751 20054 4436 838 400 177 40 0
OW 52 302 315 538 280 148 6 0
VODI 0 142 164 462 552 232 34 0
ODI 0 50 82 199 438 410 116 0
CDI 0 0 22 154 477 775 246 0
VCDI 0 171 153 268 643 5235 9243 3495
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57751 20085 4492 947 414 189 40 0
OW 52 270 271 455 328 135 3 0
VODI 0 140 159 451 558 237 30 0
ODI 0 51 77 184 411 429 88 0
CDI 0 2 20 157 458 744 282 0
VCDI 0 171 153 265 621 5243 9242 3495

Date: 2022-03-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61433 18325 2102 901 445 247 43 0
OW 53 304 253 410 351 184 27 0
VODI 0 149 148 308 599 310 62 0
ODI 0 45 70 229 483 529 110 0
CDI 0 0 32 146 438 844 441 0
VCDI 0 48 170 281 592 4155 8655 5178
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61433 18348 2143 964 482 263 47 0
OW 53 277 201 341 351 172 21 0
VODI 0 144 149 310 585 320 53 0
ODI 0 54 77 235 472 515 125 0
CDI 0 0 36 143 422 816 465 0
VCDI 0 48 169 282 596 4183 8627 5178

Date: 2022-03-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62323 17559 2229 695 304 129 67 0
OW 52 303 387 478 236 113 57 0
VODI 0 105 183 625 485 192 66 0
ODI 0 40 49 242 623 457 161 0
CDI 0 3 18 89 442 975 672 0
VCDI 0 17 90 135 521 3099 10072 4807
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62322 17497 2287 953 522 250 122 0
OW 53 249 268 334 254 163 85 0
VODI 0 138 179 362 345 292 161 0
ODI 0 102 66 240 359 310 260 0
CDI 0 24 51 176 383 595 429 0
VCDI 0 17 105 199 748 3355 10038 4807

Date: 2022-03-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58085 20495 3856 821 273 94 80 0
OW 52 279 341 545 273 90 56 0
VODI 0 82 213 394 538 165 97 0
ODI 0 32 69 239 393 389 245 0
CDI 0 3 12 115 484 679 658 0
VCDI 0 2 72 244 746 2687 9281 5921
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58085 20348 3896 925 513 210 211 0
OW 52 301 257 296 226 119 121 0
VODI 0 162 175 409 355 228 188 0
ODI 0 71 119 233 357 320 207 0
CDI 0 9 39 219 400 519 464 0
VCDI 0 2 77 276 856 2708 9226 5921

Date: 2022-04-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59497 21217 1908 774 256 132 93 0
OW 52 315 273 450 336 81 42 0
VODI 0 117 187 349 433 244 97 0
ODI 0 43 57 222 335 431 253 0
CDI 0 13 17 97 410 704 586 0
VCDI 0 0 0 105 691 2857 9192 6234
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59497 20977 1840 786 592 357 228 0
OW 52 350 223 312 232 168 85 0
VODI 0 224 196 351 318 273 180 0
ODI 0 118 117 257 269 283 256 0
CDI 0 36 64 178 388 599 579 0
VCDI 0 0 2 113 662 2769 8935 6234


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