Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2022-03-17

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-03-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57194 19813 4461 891 455 104 76 0
OW 54 390 278 288 304 76 21 0
VODI 0 215 327 274 341 154 38 0
ODI 0 71 175 210 344 231 54 0
CDI 0 31 114 286 486 667 239 0
VCDI 0 20 161 577 968 3499 10123 5090
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-03-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62382 15875 2953 1215 536 204 28 0
OW 54 489 231 229 256 159 2 0
VODI 0 288 199 318 276 247 24 0
ODI 0 127 88 281 250 233 106 0
CDI 0 55 99 298 506 507 308 0
VCDI 0 4 150 495 829 3805 9974 5020
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-03-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61427 18000 3146 1058 416 98 59 0
OW 53 426 236 234 321 76 11 0
VODI 0 182 183 341 490 187 26 0
ODI 0 51 67 244 462 299 62 0
CDI 0 31 20 149 637 728 242 0
VCDI 0 199 244 247 1083 5701 9897 1767
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-03-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59065 20594 2269 1223 554 220 103 0
OW 52 467 233 334 315 170 30 0
VODI 0 163 155 372 399 301 48 0
ODI 0 50 50 222 519 392 80 0
CDI 0 53 43 118 647 947 373 0
VCDI 0 343 149 240 1274 4792 10247 1494
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59065 20512 2294 1213 563 233 100 0
OW 52 514 180 328 290 149 28 0
VODI 0 192 171 368 398 293 48 0
ODI 0 53 60 243 511 384 81 0
CDI 0 68 47 112 651 925 335 0
VCDI 0 331 147 245 1295 4838 10289 1494

Date: 2022-03-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56105 23026 2192 1275 757 282 108 0
OW 52 503 234 303 289 248 79 0
VODI 0 150 162 389 347 419 93 0
ODI 0 65 56 218 463 434 112 0
CDI 0 70 48 130 650 1106 437 0
VCDI 0 261 179 254 788 4525 10349 1942
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56105 23026 2212 1271 751 297 110 0
OW 52 452 172 313 280 236 67 0
VODI 0 190 187 374 350 410 92 0
ODI 0 68 75 225 440 444 109 0
CDI 0 76 49 131 740 1042 420 0
VCDI 0 263 176 255 733 4585 10380 1942

Date: 2022-03-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57196 20362 4115 1215 599 185 74 0
OW 65 208 285 453 377 108 27 0
VODI 1 98 109 480 507 235 57 0
ODI 0 117 78 242 593 512 71 0
CDI 0 72 172 194 748 1413 517 0
VCDI 0 7 98 143 725 4323 9999 2320
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57206 19943 4014 1301 800 277 87 0
OW 55 394 235 274 325 267 70 0
VODI 1 226 203 393 353 397 73 0
ODI 0 76 67 251 363 411 126 0
CDI 0 98 44 170 828 933 350 0
VCDI 0 127 294 338 880 4491 10039 2320

Date: 2022-03-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 55103 21876 5428 947 380 142 54 0
OW 52 326 359 526 303 111 10 0
VODI 0 133 146 371 578 196 17 0
ODI 0 60 72 148 510 323 141 0
CDI 0 10 33 118 542 853 315 0
VCDI 0 256 158 241 806 4394 9285 3777
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 55102 21618 5311 965 545 196 75 0
OW 53 327 292 358 280 225 38 0
VODI 0 264 179 355 430 248 72 0
ODI 0 113 125 193 381 285 123 0
CDI 0 70 91 180 476 533 255 0
VCDI 0 269 198 300 1007 4532 9259 3777

Date: 2022-03-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57985 20510 3483 853 452 211 16 0
OW 52 295 264 460 323 177 13 0
VODI 0 212 94 449 591 262 30 0
ODI 0 69 56 227 465 479 74 0
CDI 0 4 35 135 460 860 355 0
VCDI 0 92 130 303 622 4860 9384 3758
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57984 20285 3427 913 633 442 35 0
OW 53 295 233 365 275 284 32 0
VODI 0 238 124 331 377 351 48 0
ODI 0 170 48 174 384 351 102 0
CDI 0 102 86 234 445 798 481 0
VCDI 0 92 144 410 799 4623 9174 3758


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