Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2022-03-17

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-03-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57194 19888 4539 911 463 106 76 0
OW 54 422 303 292 310 79 23 0
VODI 0 257 347 280 343 159 41 0
ODI 0 89 193 216 351 234 57 0
CDI 0 44 135 302 517 749 268 0
VCDI 0 139 252 775 1331 5340 27754 62215
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-03-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62382 15993 2983 1235 547 208 28 0
OW 54 532 243 239 261 161 4 0
VODI 0 333 202 325 283 250 24 0
ODI 0 163 90 283 255 237 107 0
CDI 0 91 114 307 521 574 402 6
VCDI 0 173 271 682 1150 5580 26520 63235
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-03-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61427 18244 3163 1061 416 98 59 0
OW 53 477 243 242 322 76 11 0
VODI 0 221 188 352 497 188 26 0
ODI 0 78 71 252 470 310 63 0
CDI 0 62 33 156 707 830 273 0
VCDI 0 368 386 448 1530 8125 24147 61375
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-03-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59065 20844 2275 1224 554 220 103 0
OW 52 524 241 341 317 170 30 0
VODI 0 209 167 380 402 303 48 0
ODI 0 86 64 243 548 402 80 0
CDI 0 87 56 163 786 1138 528 3
VCDI 0 615 280 437 1884 7740 34675 49764
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59065 20761 2300 1214 563 233 100 0
OW 52 572 189 335 291 149 28 0
VODI 0 251 182 376 402 295 48 0
ODI 0 84 75 263 538 393 81 0
CDI 0 102 61 156 784 1112 477 2
VCDI 0 595 276 444 1913 7791 34730 49765

Date: 2022-03-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56105 23227 2203 1276 757 282 108 0
OW 52 559 249 306 289 248 79 0
VODI 0 221 177 403 349 419 93 0
ODI 0 131 86 275 493 439 115 0
CDI 0 140 79 184 773 1222 575 3
VCDI 0 589 301 440 1378 7445 35033 49945
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56105 23237 2224 1272 751 297 110 0
OW 52 504 186 315 280 236 67 0
VODI 0 276 204 389 352 410 92 0
ODI 0 134 103 277 467 449 114 0
CDI 0 146 80 189 867 1160 552 6
VCDI 0 570 298 442 1322 7503 35068 49942

Date: 2022-03-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57196 20567 4150 1225 599 185 74 0
OW 65 246 296 480 379 108 27 0
VODI 1 209 157 515 531 238 57 0
ODI 0 162 113 321 689 542 73 0
CDI 0 112 205 262 907 1668 678 2
VCDI 0 25 110 206 1101 6875 34936 50756
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57206 20103 4040 1308 800 277 87 0
OW 55 429 244 289 327 267 70 0
VODI 1 265 211 415 363 398 73 0
ODI 0 129 76 279 387 421 127 0
CDI 0 156 55 188 945 1060 415 18
VCDI 0 239 405 530 1384 7193 35073 50740

Date: 2022-03-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 55103 21914 5559 980 392 143 54 0
OW 52 331 397 540 313 112 10 0
VODI 0 166 199 384 587 200 17 0
ODI 0 135 107 188 531 335 150 0
CDI 0 77 78 203 631 1047 513 7
VCDI 0 354 236 385 1224 7949 35552 49893
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 55102 21650 5416 992 554 197 75 0
OW 53 332 326 371 289 226 38 0
VODI 0 267 214 371 440 252 72 0
ODI 0 119 154 202 394 296 123 0
CDI 0 111 131 192 509 685 417 3
VCDI 0 498 335 552 1492 8130 35571 49897

Date: 2022-03-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57985 20597 3516 878 472 214 16 0
OW 52 314 281 475 340 177 13 0
VODI 0 243 109 462 604 263 30 0
ODI 0 92 74 239 506 509 84 0
CDI 0 36 51 153 590 1171 565 0
VCDI 0 139 191 454 1053 8453 34273 51374
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57984 20360 3453 930 645 445 35 0
OW 53 319 248 380 288 284 32 0
VODI 0 260 137 345 398 352 48 0
ODI 0 184 60 187 396 380 102 0
CDI 0 126 107 251 493 914 585 6
VCDI 0 172 217 568 1345 8412 34179 51368


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