Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2022-03-10

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-03-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 54516 24410 2115 742 376 150 139 0
OW 55 407 176 354 237 88 39 0
VODI 0 219 141 354 414 162 60 0
ODI 0 96 87 185 393 253 86 0
CDI 0 88 71 129 563 569 314 0
VCDI 0 22 72 149 658 3285 10500 6426
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-03-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57734 20475 2749 865 493 111 121 0
OW 55 421 177 385 213 35 53 0
VODI 0 203 152 333 436 88 71 0
ODI 0 95 73 227 480 161 88 0
CDI 0 52 78 292 644 505 380 0
VCDI 0 7 20 290 1205 3796 9513 6024
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-03-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59379 19014 2191 999 520 149 89 0
OW 54 274 291 491 303 93 37 0
VODI 0 65 185 508 484 186 57 0
ODI 0 10 50 293 566 311 78 0
CDI 0 2 30 147 716 1045 519 0
VCDI 0 6 15 224 803 3291 10765 4860
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-03-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 55320 22170 3813 907 468 107 111 0
OW 54 273 420 260 292 64 31 0
VODI 0 105 324 368 361 143 42 0
ODI 0 28 107 293 342 207 82 0
CDI 0 21 39 267 562 702 244 0
VCDI 0 21 50 371 1173 3584 10487 4887
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 55320 22220 3815 921 497 107 109 0
OW 54 245 405 253 244 63 32 0
VODI 0 87 329 377 366 131 33 0
ODI 0 29 109 289 364 208 76 0
CDI 0 18 47 244 564 706 214 0
VCDI 0 19 48 382 1163 3592 10533 4887

Date: 2022-03-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59133 17606 4855 851 451 88 93 0
OW 54 352 313 295 291 60 23 0
VODI 0 189 286 294 318 151 48 0
ODI 0 59 155 256 324 215 94 0
CDI 0 23 147 280 513 551 217 0
VCDI 0 84 201 481 1105 3909 10000 4735
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59133 17654 4850 887 475 92 93 0
OW 54 307 338 250 256 60 25 0
VODI 0 179 272 333 328 139 40 0
ODI 0 57 159 250 343 222 88 0
CDI 0 31 133 268 497 562 244 0
VCDI 0 85 205 469 1103 3899 9985 4735

Date: 2022-03-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61005 16845 4819 774 226 70 5 0
OW 53 475 276 361 194 42 9 0
VODI 0 183 216 496 472 147 8 0
ODI 0 38 55 318 437 300 76 0
CDI 0 23 27 172 646 685 332 0
VCDI 0 77 206 313 953 5021 9361 3384
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61004 16527 4745 777 348 120 18 0
OW 54 527 232 262 216 69 11 0
VODI 0 308 221 329 312 168 23 0
ODI 0 129 102 323 266 196 85 0
CDI 0 61 66 346 538 545 357 0
VCDI 0 89 233 397 1248 5167 9297 3384

Date: 2022-03-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61530 18451 2322 1104 487 180 76 0
OW 52 491 229 268 352 97 6 0
VODI 0 170 168 320 488 224 28 0
ODI 0 44 61 212 554 314 46 0
CDI 0 48 40 149 655 767 256 0
VCDI 0 305 190 247 1345 5420 9631 1773
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61529 18052 2262 1071 617 264 88 0
OW 53 573 195 197 281 86 19 0
VODI 0 348 155 289 359 213 48 0
ODI 0 127 112 226 442 219 71 0
CDI 0 72 73 236 737 671 243 0
VCDI 0 337 213 281 1445 5549 9574 1773

Date: 2022-03-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60814 19037 1794 1308 628 241 117 0
OW 56 481 235 292 314 198 62 0
VODI 0 184 156 403 333 346 80 0
ODI 0 65 61 276 446 440 75 0
CDI 0 72 51 159 633 975 342 0
VCDI 0 263 202 236 1046 4464 10279 1936
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60814 18874 1742 1249 690 296 150 0
OW 56 495 181 268 241 218 58 0
VODI 0 282 197 346 247 349 91 0
ODI 0 107 82 317 371 346 72 0
CDI 0 61 72 235 619 824 271 0
VCDI 0 283 225 259 1232 4631 10313 1936


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