Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2022-03-03

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-02-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 51510 24982 3875 1449 368 94 69 0
OW 55 354 315 282 232 114 26 0
VODI 0 217 237 304 353 188 40 0
ODI 0 94 104 270 344 208 60 0
CDI 0 63 61 191 405 442 117 0
VCDI 0 17 33 175 951 3686 11485 5330
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-02-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56847 21096 2790 837 566 199 28 0
OW 55 307 298 348 217 163 23 0
VODI 0 190 219 288 350 238 37 0
ODI 0 67 152 205 367 261 49 0
CDI 0 33 119 159 476 601 138 0
VCDI 0 6 101 317 951 4020 10682 5300
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-03-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57415 19952 3709 784 424 188 61 0
OW 54 267 320 342 236 95 15 0
VODI 0 112 199 372 394 195 25 0
ODI 0 34 110 216 450 272 50 0
CDI 0 24 99 178 498 581 306 0
VCDI 0 0 27 169 716 4038 10520 5653
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-03-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 55380 23173 2436 749 454 137 99 0
OW 55 349 243 316 292 62 30 0
VODI 0 174 178 379 414 147 42 0
ODI 0 67 93 264 428 243 56 0
CDI 0 41 85 159 608 532 214 0
VCDI 0 5 59 220 865 3698 11007 5347
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 55380 23172 2440 745 480 142 98 0
OW 55 331 227 315 274 57 31 0
VODI 0 198 187 380 411 126 45 0
ODI 0 67 100 265 411 241 52 0
CDI 0 36 82 168 613 537 212 0
VCDI 0 5 58 214 872 3716 11010 5347

Date: 2022-03-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 55669 21300 4119 844 349 108 129 0
OW 55 384 179 388 235 37 43 0
VODI 0 235 108 350 438 101 71 0
ODI 0 116 59 213 439 188 97 0
CDI 0 59 83 238 680 469 390 0
VCDI 0 17 37 124 1015 3550 10308 5876
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 55669 21338 4108 822 362 107 136 0
OW 55 353 182 400 218 37 39 0
VODI 0 234 116 366 410 98 64 0
ODI 0 110 66 215 454 199 94 0
CDI 0 62 83 232 687 426 389 0
VCDI 0 14 30 122 1025 3586 10316 5876

Date: 2022-03-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57130 22125 1460 942 501 175 86 0
OW 54 316 270 486 270 72 30 0
VODI 0 96 203 454 499 140 41 0
ODI 0 12 66 295 670 308 67 0
CDI 0 9 23 184 725 943 372 0
VCDI 0 2 8 196 872 3762 10032 5204
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57129 21917 1418 1046 597 222 105 0
OW 55 405 225 352 244 80 49 0
VODI 0 179 183 313 432 141 60 0
ODI 0 43 125 237 497 217 96 0
CDI 0 10 57 303 677 755 382 0
VCDI 0 6 22 306 1090 3985 9936 5204

Date: 2022-03-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56574 20041 4197 984 460 109 107 0
OW 55 194 452 463 306 63 32 0
VODI 0 33 201 524 401 144 57 0
ODI 0 13 42 337 512 230 80 0
CDI 0 12 22 188 790 669 352 0
VCDI 0 11 30 251 1009 3615 11245 4295
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56574 19952 4001 1110 574 148 148 0
OW 55 227 438 292 278 74 66 0
VODI 0 70 305 426 352 173 91 0
ODI 0 17 100 323 343 216 115 0
CDI 0 14 49 261 757 569 389 0
VCDI 0 24 51 335 1174 3650 11064 4295

Date: 2022-03-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57194 19813 4461 891 455 104 76 0
OW 54 390 278 288 304 76 21 0
VODI 0 215 327 274 341 154 38 0
ODI 0 71 175 210 344 231 54 0
CDI 0 31 114 286 486 667 239 0
VCDI 0 20 161 577 968 3499 10123 5090
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57194 19375 4224 926 577 213 118 0
OW 54 428 269 212 265 108 37 0
VODI 0 423 238 240 252 193 70 0
ODI 0 140 246 195 280 203 91 0
CDI 0 99 256 300 459 570 250 0
VCDI 0 75 283 653 1065 3444 9985 5090


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