Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2022-02-24

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-02-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 53601 24389 3307 1192 400 62 68 0
OW 54 405 201 365 289 76 35 0
VODI 0 214 166 322 470 168 49 0
ODI 0 74 78 206 406 232 95 0
CDI 0 37 110 186 564 691 261 0
VCDI 0 14 54 143 794 3624 10864 4834
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-02-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58359 20621 2385 823 344 116 83 0
OW 54 318 277 343 260 102 41 0
VODI 0 186 214 276 438 240 61 0
ODI 0 61 117 186 337 304 75 0
CDI 0 15 68 196 345 770 203 0
VCDI 0 0 48 232 509 4040 10585 5468
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-02-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 54685 21303 4762 1077 256 82 69 0
OW 55 203 350 460 259 67 32 0
VODI 0 98 208 398 461 159 42 0
ODI 0 28 99 198 464 280 61 0
CDI 0 10 50 198 547 690 251 0
VCDI 0 0 2 238 999 3498 10787 5674
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-02-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 51834 24843 4254 908 334 139 64 0
OW 59 384 230 320 211 170 21 0
VODI 2 222 172 317 311 288 37 0
ODI 0 83 98 197 280 308 73 0
CDI 0 54 77 182 329 548 191 0
VCDI 0 21 39 166 692 3344 10732 6566
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 51835 24841 4249 897 342 144 64 0
OW 58 392 236 338 204 167 22 0
VODI 2 222 172 313 318 301 39 0
ODI 0 81 110 204 267 297 74 0
CDI 0 45 60 170 318 548 239 0
VCDI 0 26 43 168 708 3340 10680 6566

Date: 2022-02-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 55787 21792 3138 891 536 160 24 0
OW 55 248 389 318 221 119 18 0
VODI 0 138 290 300 343 222 25 0
ODI 0 40 183 229 417 213 35 0
CDI 0 14 112 183 541 472 130 0
VCDI 0 2 69 287 1180 4379 10227 5373
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 55787 21773 3141 891 533 163 25 0
OW 55 271 379 307 219 122 20 0
VODI 0 139 314 315 357 217 24 0
ODI 0 38 164 234 402 218 40 0
CDI 0 12 102 180 519 476 131 0
VCDI 0 1 81 281 1208 4369 10219 5373

Date: 2022-02-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56867 20794 3184 910 427 206 27 0
OW 54 248 356 367 206 147 11 0
VODI 0 82 240 407 441 215 16 0
ODI 0 41 103 210 439 345 26 0
CDI 0 15 90 148 489 814 178 0
VCDI 0 1 13 186 687 3756 11767 4587
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56866 20572 3062 968 502 332 30 0
OW 55 308 285 312 243 189 23 0
VODI 0 179 243 297 342 260 39 0
ODI 0 58 171 207 320 293 54 0
CDI 0 39 136 163 395 565 139 0
VCDI 0 25 89 281 887 3844 11740 4587

Date: 2022-03-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 53489 23162 4024 1169 392 157 66 0
OW 55 385 209 334 256 67 23 0
VODI 0 222 162 372 404 124 41 0
ODI 0 82 77 207 468 215 70 0
CDI 0 73 68 185 586 498 251 0
VCDI 0 2 22 132 858 3935 10216 6042
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 53490 22794 3990 1221 600 246 89 0
OW 54 439 190 277 244 109 42 0
VODI 0 326 147 336 335 164 61 0
ODI 0 146 88 186 349 242 80 0
CDI 0 143 81 147 462 447 232 0
VCDI 0 78 66 232 974 3788 10163 6042

Date: 2022-03-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 54516 24410 2115 742 376 150 139 0
OW 55 407 176 354 237 88 39 0
VODI 0 219 141 354 414 162 60 0
ODI 0 96 87 185 393 253 86 0
CDI 0 88 71 129 563 569 314 0
VCDI 0 22 72 149 658 3285 10500 6426
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 54516 24054 2106 812 498 263 171 0
OW 55 498 146 305 255 121 60 0
VODI 0 291 124 289 335 183 90 0
ODI 0 150 80 181 352 231 99 0
CDI 0 164 102 133 451 481 289 0
VCDI 0 85 104 193 750 3228 10429 6426


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