Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2022-02-24

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-02-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 84 34 74 52 1 0 0
OW 0 15 6 18 16 5 0 0
VODI 0 23 17 9 15 5 0 0
ODI 0 26 19 4 4 12 1 0
CDI 0 44 28 29 18 91 88 8
VCDI 0 240 174 414 346 1247 10813 18102
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-02-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 66 25 86 33 0 0 0
OW 0 15 5 28 16 2 0 0
VODI 0 19 14 22 12 4 0 0
ODI 0 12 12 9 31 6 1 0
CDI 0 24 17 8 56 75 63 3
VCDI 0 174 162 224 504 2063 11559 16732
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-02-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 100 22 29 35 0 0 0
OW 0 11 5 20 24 3 0 0
VODI 0 8 5 19 16 5 2 0
ODI 0 6 10 9 8 6 5 0
CDI 0 10 14 17 14 86 94 0
VCDI 0 51 77 169 271 1189 10591 19151
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-02-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 2 146 35 0 0 0 0
OW 0 4 23 25 9 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 28 28 11 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 27 4 5 7 0 0
CDI 0 0 30 9 10 69 16 6
VCDI 0 84 126 109 142 819 11913 18395
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 2 144 36 0 0 0 0
OW 0 3 26 19 8 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 25 29 12 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 31 8 6 7 0 0
CDI 0 0 30 10 10 80 26 7
VCDI 0 84 124 108 141 807 11903 18394

Date: 2022-02-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 78 61 43 6 0 0 0
OW 0 39 12 13 9 2 0 0
VODI 0 45 12 5 11 5 1 0
ODI 0 33 9 6 10 8 0 0
CDI 0 33 15 12 20 24 27 3
VCDI 0 234 123 174 234 680 9909 20186
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 92 61 39 3 0 0 0
OW 0 30 12 15 10 2 0 0
VODI 0 41 13 7 13 4 0 0
ODI 0 35 10 9 11 8 1 0
CDI 0 32 15 11 22 28 24 3
VCDI 0 232 121 172 231 677 9912 20186

Date: 2022-02-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 143 34 48 1 0 0 0
OW 0 20 10 33 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 27 4 21 8 4 0 0
ODI 0 12 7 6 15 7 2 0
CDI 0 12 14 9 16 22 48 2
VCDI 0 132 87 149 180 569 7453 22982
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 126 23 29 0 0 0 0
OW 0 19 19 33 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 32 4 32 8 2 0 0
ODI 0 22 6 8 13 6 1 0
CDI 0 17 21 14 18 22 25 6
VCDI 0 130 83 150 182 572 7477 22978

Date: 2022-03-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 126 34 36 2 0 0 0
OW 0 22 9 27 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 23 8 11 8 2 0 0
ODI 0 18 3 4 7 3 3 0
CDI 0 21 6 3 6 12 37 5
VCDI 0 154 59 128 145 455 6325 24374
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 106 20 31 0 0 0 0
OW 0 20 19 16 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 26 9 20 11 0 0 0
ODI 0 20 5 11 8 5 0 0
CDI 0 29 5 3 6 25 67 18
VCDI 0 163 61 128 147 442 6298 24361

Date: 2022-03-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 80 35 57 9 0 0 0
OW 0 9 15 21 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 18 3 19 12 7 0 0
ODI 0 17 2 8 5 6 6 0
CDI 0 17 3 7 9 25 41 0
VCDI 0 123 50 110 112 268 6716 24267
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 74 28 29 4 0 0 0
OW 0 8 11 36 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 9 9 21 15 5 0 0
ODI 0 14 3 11 8 10 4 0
CDI 0 19 6 10 7 31 53 0
VCDI 0 140 51 115 113 260 6706 24267


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