Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2022-02-24

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-02-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 24 1 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 11 1057 5157 39616
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-02-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 10 4 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 9 41 1162 8183 36456
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-02-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 3 35 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 44 96 61 5
VCDI 0 0 0 21 110 1539 9995 33951
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-02-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 1 5 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 2 23 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 32 1126 9308 35369
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 1 5 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 2 24 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 32 1126 9307 35369

Date: 2022-02-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 1 22 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 13 15 19 0
CDI 0 1 0 13 65 72 21 0
VCDI 0 0 1 44 211 1511 11265 32592
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 1 14 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 14 17 22 0
CDI 0 1 0 14 68 69 23 0
VCDI 0 0 1 43 207 1512 11268 32592

Date: 2022-02-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 11 8 0
ODI 0 0 0 1 2 22 30 0
CDI 0 1 1 7 35 112 86 4
VCDI 0 2 4 22 192 1021 12008 32297
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 17 32 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 5 14 25 0
CDI 0 1 0 9 68 165 109 0
VCDI 0 2 5 21 156 970 11966 32301

Date: 2022-03-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 0
ODI 0 0 0 3 1 30 39 0
CDI 0 0 0 12 15 113 86 11
VCDI 0 0 0 64 262 1161 11661 32404
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 14 21 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 1 32 45 0
CDI 0 0 0 16 14 180 127 5
VCDI 0 0 0 63 263 1081 11594 32410

Date: 2022-03-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 5 5 3 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 10 25 78 59 0
VCDI 0 0 8 116 184 1246 9083 35040
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 10 15 0
ODI 0 0 0 5 9 12 36 2
CDI 0 0 0 8 21 91 75 21
VCDI 0 0 8 118 184 1214 9020 35017


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