Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2022-02-17

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-02-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59383 20247 3198 768 272 126 15 0
OW 52 467 269 356 196 64 33 0
VODI 0 327 174 376 314 140 45 0
ODI 0 110 114 229 357 207 70 0
CDI 0 62 111 256 644 574 271 0
VCDI 0 60 96 408 1205 3184 11159 3161
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-02-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60422 19871 2123 753 294 113 10 0
OW 53 362 256 439 193 101 25 0
VODI 0 262 137 526 344 135 32 0
ODI 0 69 79 281 394 221 75 0
CDI 0 30 75 281 600 667 337 0
VCDI 0 43 75 285 883 3427 9407 5420
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-02-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 55043 23598 3575 782 334 115 45 0
OW 53 281 297 382 212 83 21 0
VODI 0 85 146 541 358 184 38 0
ODI 0 18 53 332 446 229 104 0
CDI 0 7 20 178 640 741 358 0
VCDI 0 30 36 152 516 3581 9416 6070
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-02-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 55209 24181 2550 786 345 78 66 0
OW 54 397 200 380 266 79 35 0
VODI 0 183 147 354 415 189 71 0
ODI 0 68 78 186 451 193 102 0
CDI 0 34 76 163 629 575 304 0
VCDI 0 25 57 192 825 3631 11079 4447
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 55209 24239 2580 855 394 81 68 0
OW 54 354 178 337 258 94 30 0
VODI 0 172 145 333 388 177 78 0
ODI 0 64 68 191 429 206 99 0
CDI 0 34 77 156 654 551 318 0
VCDI 0 25 60 189 808 3636 11064 4447

Date: 2022-02-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 54932 22180 4382 896 327 67 72 0
OW 54 342 279 368 243 75 45 0
VODI 0 180 256 301 470 143 46 0
ODI 0 63 134 220 423 195 79 0
CDI 0 29 91 223 526 577 173 0
VCDI 0 5 57 223 966 3922 10597 4939
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 54932 22227 4391 980 361 82 76 0
OW 54 312 282 324 269 65 37 0
VODI 0 160 243 292 434 137 46 0
ODI 0 63 128 189 412 201 80 0
CDI 0 31 90 198 532 532 183 0
VCDI 0 6 65 248 947 3962 10590 4939

Date: 2022-02-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57464 21391 2284 743 252 93 76 0
OW 54 419 252 423 239 90 23 0
VODI 0 205 145 421 465 176 44 0
ODI 0 57 69 209 490 353 49 0
CDI 0 14 39 126 479 1011 184 0
VCDI 0 1 12 91 416 3401 11218 5622
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57464 21446 2308 944 393 153 88 0
OW 54 305 190 328 297 118 41 0
VODI 0 197 129 242 420 226 65 0
ODI 0 79 77 159 305 371 77 0
CDI 0 49 62 175 357 740 250 1
VCDI 0 11 35 165 569 3516 11073 5621

Date: 2022-02-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 54484 20897 5484 987 338 133 55 0
OW 55 204 325 351 299 104 27 0
VODI 0 116 190 313 430 214 33 0
ODI 0 45 118 148 384 305 63 0
CDI 0 26 81 140 387 779 202 0
VCDI 0 11 72 205 735 3541 11115 5704
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 54484 20884 5426 1018 469 218 66 0
OW 55 167 311 304 347 167 41 0
VODI 0 117 202 274 346 231 64 0
ODI 0 64 106 145 318 325 80 0
CDI 0 36 116 131 335 752 241 0
VCDI 0 31 109 272 758 3383 11003 5704

Date: 2022-02-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 51510 24982 3875 1449 368 94 69 0
OW 55 354 315 282 232 114 26 0
VODI 0 217 237 304 353 188 40 0
ODI 0 94 104 270 344 208 60 0
CDI 0 63 61 191 405 442 117 0
VCDI 0 17 33 175 951 3686 11485 5330
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 51511 25005 3897 1579 516 191 100 0
OW 54 286 244 234 278 183 44 0
VODI 0 225 214 230 350 213 69 0
ODI 0 86 137 198 281 259 76 0
CDI 0 85 86 213 341 502 164 0
VCDI 0 40 47 217 887 3384 11344 5330


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