Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2022-02-17

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-02-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 138 92 26 8 0 0 0
OW 0 68 6 9 1 2 0 0
VODI 0 108 4 15 13 4 0 0
ODI 0 131 14 32 55 13 0 0
CDI 0 105 41 42 84 50 111 6
VCDI 0 370 175 183 407 1074 11445 17250
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-02-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 147 36 49 16 0 0 0
OW 0 45 19 16 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 117 1 11 3 1 0 0
ODI 0 132 23 7 35 24 2 0
CDI 0 91 98 42 108 74 48 73
VCDI 0 225 314 235 591 1416 9579 18499
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-02-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 145 51 79 6 0 0 0
OW 0 49 6 14 8 1 0 0
VODI 0 123 11 6 11 2 0 0
ODI 0 196 35 10 21 29 0 0
CDI 0 117 35 56 67 97 23 14
VCDI 0 190 148 323 577 1583 9125 18924
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-02-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 94 52 88 21 0 0 0
OW 0 22 7 22 14 3 0 0
VODI 0 28 27 4 12 5 0 0
ODI 0 53 14 6 20 7 1 0
CDI 0 127 48 29 46 57 46 6
VCDI 0 277 213 315 405 1330 9196 19487
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 94 50 90 20 0 0 0
OW 0 19 7 21 15 3 0 0
VODI 0 30 24 2 11 5 0 0
ODI 0 49 16 6 15 5 0 0
CDI 0 150 50 28 45 56 48 8
VCDI 0 259 214 317 412 1333 9195 19485

Date: 2022-02-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 67 36 68 50 0 0 0
OW 0 17 6 14 27 3 0 0
VODI 0 18 17 11 17 6 0 0
ODI 0 23 13 5 25 8 0 0
CDI 0 32 18 12 20 100 90 2
VCDI 0 204 138 349 389 1378 11288 17631
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 67 35 69 53 0 0 0
OW 0 18 6 14 26 4 0 0
VODI 0 18 18 10 17 6 0 0
ODI 0 23 13 5 25 10 0 0
CDI 0 40 20 12 18 94 97 1
VCDI 0 195 136 349 389 1381 11281 17632

Date: 2022-02-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 78 22 53 49 0 0 0
OW 0 13 6 13 27 4 0 0
VODI 0 7 8 22 20 10 0 0
ODI 0 7 11 29 21 10 1 0
CDI 0 8 20 50 57 139 64 5
VCDI 0 78 96 210 325 1932 11645 17042
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 69 22 52 53 0 0 0
OW 0 12 4 19 27 8 0 0
VODI 0 12 12 16 19 13 0 0
ODI 0 9 11 28 13 16 6 0
CDI 0 11 19 35 32 85 68 7
VCDI 0 78 95 227 355 1973 11636 17040

Date: 2022-02-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 87 29 33 18 0 0 0
OW 0 11 8 20 16 3 0 0
VODI 0 8 8 20 17 11 1 0
ODI 0 4 5 18 7 9 1 0
CDI 0 0 8 27 10 79 99 16
VCDI 0 40 27 129 223 1327 11427 18336
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 81 30 34 27 2 0 0
OW 0 10 8 26 13 10 0 0
VODI 0 12 6 20 13 8 2 0
ODI 0 6 6 16 8 7 3 0
CDI 0 1 8 24 10 75 176 0
VCDI 0 40 27 127 220 1327 11347 18352

Date: 2022-02-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 7 145 31 0 0 0 0
OW 0 4 33 27 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 7 34 19 14 0 0 0
ODI 0 12 22 9 13 4 0 0
CDI 0 21 22 8 14 61 5 0
VCDI 0 131 107 136 177 640 12533 17844
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 9 146 43 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1 37 21 10 0 0 0
VODI 0 6 37 13 11 0 0 0
ODI 0 11 18 8 8 6 0 0
CDI 0 19 15 7 12 24 15 12
VCDI 0 136 110 138 179 675 12523 17832


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