Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2022-02-10

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-02-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 107 30 13 4 0 0 0
OW 0 23 21 24 11 1 0 0
VODI 0 15 14 26 19 4 0 0
ODI 0 5 14 19 26 8 0 0
CDI 0 10 7 26 22 54 72 6
VCDI 0 14 29 193 343 751 9458 20713
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-02-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 76 43 25 4 0 0 0
OW 0 38 20 8 16 0 0 0
VODI 0 37 19 6 18 3 0 0
ODI 0 25 19 8 14 12 1 0
CDI 0 25 19 15 3 22 25 0
VCDI 0 81 123 196 156 310 9708 21007
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-02-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 167 88 15 6 0 0 0
OW 0 76 2 4 4 5 0 0
VODI 0 88 0 9 9 9 5 0
ODI 0 58 2 19 35 5 1 0
CDI 0 72 41 30 58 52 18 0
VCDI 0 196 154 148 188 783 10649 19086
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-02-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 160 68 30 4 0 0 0
OW 0 80 3 8 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 109 0 22 10 1 0 0
ODI 0 97 6 17 38 9 2 0
CDI 0 89 31 39 62 42 64 8
VCDI 0 338 148 165 336 1010 13163 15919
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 168 67 30 4 0 0 0
OW 0 72 4 7 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 120 0 24 10 1 0 0
ODI 0 107 8 22 36 11 2 0
CDI 0 112 44 39 63 39 64 9
VCDI 0 294 133 159 336 1011 13163 15918

Date: 2022-02-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 164 46 45 5 3 0 0
OW 0 71 6 9 3 2 0 0
VODI 0 119 4 6 12 1 0 0
ODI 0 141 8 13 69 26 1 0
CDI 0 133 35 24 115 74 47 80
VCDI 0 398 171 188 486 1192 9756 18629
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 172 45 45 6 3 0 0
OW 0 70 7 8 3 2 0 0
VODI 0 124 6 9 18 3 0 0
ODI 0 161 11 17 66 28 1 0
CDI 0 121 32 23 114 76 38 84
VCDI 0 378 169 183 483 1186 9765 18625

Date: 2022-02-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 154 65 86 7 0 0 0
OW 0 65 11 19 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 140 61 8 8 4 0 0
ODI 0 59 101 19 41 18 0 0
CDI 0 39 115 58 101 65 22 29
VCDI 0 77 205 352 551 1695 9521 18382
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 129 42 72 7 0 0 0
OW 0 35 15 25 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 88 23 9 6 3 0 0
ODI 0 106 30 10 57 30 0 0
CDI 0 70 102 46 89 88 19 58
VCDI 0 106 346 380 551 1661 9524 18353

Date: 2022-02-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 110 49 99 8 0 0 0
OW 0 28 10 13 15 0 0 0
VODI 0 50 20 5 10 7 0 0
ODI 0 97 34 11 23 14 1 0
CDI 0 177 68 46 46 83 28 9
VCDI 0 157 246 293 497 1661 8791 19376
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 101 41 74 5 0 0 0
OW 0 23 10 25 12 0 0 0
VODI 0 41 15 14 23 6 0 0
ODI 0 84 24 6 26 20 1 0
CDI 0 95 55 34 48 104 31 21
VCDI 0 275 282 314 485 1635 8788 19364

Date: 2022-02-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 84 34 74 52 1 0 0
OW 0 15 6 18 16 5 0 0
VODI 0 23 17 9 15 5 0 0
ODI 0 26 19 4 4 12 1 0
CDI 0 44 28 29 18 91 88 8
VCDI 0 240 174 414 346 1247 10813 18102
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 71 34 60 30 0 0 0
OW 0 24 3 15 22 3 0 0
VODI 0 19 9 18 28 7 0 0
ODI 0 23 22 8 11 25 0 0
CDI 0 46 27 16 10 88 118 1
VCDI 0 249 183 431 350 1238 10784 18109


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