Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2022-02-10

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-02-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 53543 26225 3173 976 360 108 43 0
OW 53 286 263 441 281 104 43 0
VODI 0 162 144 438 349 166 81 0
ODI 0 71 94 210 425 220 126 0
CDI 0 54 70 186 639 622 471 6
VCDI 0 27 65 407 1494 5864 28141 60617
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-02-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 51480 25788 5648 1078 287 109 30 0
OW 53 336 313 284 287 106 35 0
VODI 0 185 267 302 343 149 68 0
ODI 0 80 138 236 274 199 85 0
CDI 0 91 126 209 427 468 246 0
VCDI 0 132 188 463 1240 5737 26283 63278
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-02-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 53195 24888 5128 1045 375 80 17 0
OW 52 433 225 292 258 120 26 0
VODI 0 292 169 243 368 166 46 0
ODI 0 125 126 167 336 250 58 0
CDI 0 115 164 135 554 723 325 0
VCDI 0 205 245 470 1730 6020 27305 60577
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-02-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57840 20590 4723 853 339 128 28 0
OW 60 583 233 306 201 85 33 0
VODI 0 437 156 324 325 118 49 0
ODI 0 222 108 203 340 206 71 0
CDI 0 155 125 246 545 631 279 13
VCDI 0 368 234 530 1990 5320 31567 56484
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57838 20686 4712 863 355 127 22 0
OW 62 549 252 282 201 91 37 0
VODI 0 404 163 335 329 127 50 0
ODI 0 222 98 226 320 221 73 0
CDI 0 176 136 244 565 631 295 13
VCDI 0 318 218 512 1970 5291 31550 56484

Date: 2022-02-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60395 20046 2532 694 276 103 7 0
OW 52 546 280 365 186 79 18 0
VODI 0 399 191 461 336 125 28 0
ODI 0 240 94 252 460 287 50 0
CDI 0 181 130 303 724 846 301 80
VCDI 0 454 257 506 1533 5895 28765 58571
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60395 20151 2527 726 309 113 9 0
OW 52 547 306 338 180 78 19 0
VODI 0 324 186 468 328 136 33 0
ODI 0 260 91 277 435 308 50 0
CDI 0 158 123 271 748 852 336 84
VCDI 0 426 251 501 1515 5848 28722 58567

Date: 2022-02-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56293 23157 3200 775 328 94 21 0
OW 53 275 311 494 216 62 11 0
VODI 0 235 188 587 485 156 14 0
ODI 0 84 160 332 581 346 77 0
CDI 0 46 127 215 736 1269 362 31
VCDI 0 111 240 494 1100 6596 27051 60135
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56293 22879 3051 849 451 127 29 0
OW 53 397 298 403 261 109 14 0
VODI 0 225 200 443 397 207 41 0
ODI 0 162 102 253 387 347 77 0
CDI 0 99 177 299 530 931 323 58
VCDI 0 146 398 650 1420 6802 27052 60108

Date: 2022-02-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57384 21744 3174 875 313 78 61 0
OW 53 366 240 473 230 61 28 0
VODI 0 221 150 382 443 167 56 0
ODI 0 154 107 240 460 206 117 0
CDI 0 194 109 240 641 660 342 11
VCDI 0 168 280 485 1432 6549 25598 62556
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57383 21462 3125 866 429 117 82 0
OW 54 463 190 351 200 118 47 0
VODI 0 278 170 408 402 214 68 0
ODI 0 184 95 234 403 250 110 0
CDI 0 162 121 221 589 639 325 36
VCDI 0 298 359 615 1496 6383 25570 62531

Date: 2022-02-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 53601 24473 3341 1266 452 63 68 0
OW 54 420 207 383 305 81 35 0
VODI 0 237 183 331 485 173 49 0
ODI 0 100 97 210 410 244 96 0
CDI 0 81 138 215 582 806 350 8
VCDI 0 254 228 557 1151 5928 26834 62552
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 53601 24276 3290 1277 487 108 89 0
OW 54 452 167 307 254 99 46 0
VODI 0 292 192 287 431 210 78 0
ODI 0 141 122 210 377 249 101 0
CDI 0 126 125 221 541 707 415 2
VCDI 0 278 298 660 1295 5922 26703 62558


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