Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2022-02-03

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-01-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60696 20544 2567 800 279 123 89 0
OW 61 277 222 327 200 71 33 0
VODI 0 152 151 373 364 123 74 0
ODI 0 42 105 244 422 123 100 0
CDI 0 19 66 215 627 372 265 0
VCDI 0 196 220 423 1349 3199 8647 4940
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-01-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58738 22145 2193 1140 355 137 91 0
OW 52 326 184 302 215 71 72 0
VODI 0 186 149 304 335 136 84 0
ODI 0 35 98 216 297 236 108 0
CDI 0 10 32 215 374 509 230 0
VCDI 0 7 13 384 1119 3930 8473 5599
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-02-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57989 22345 3361 825 224 81 74 0
OW 54 280 216 416 191 55 34 0
VODI 0 137 108 341 421 149 82 0
ODI 0 40 69 192 403 207 131 0
CDI 0 18 25 136 487 497 306 0
VCDI 0 4 5 59 972 3723 9504 4939
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-02-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56858 23441 2705 1034 310 89 62 0
OW 52 263 202 455 261 80 29 0
VODI 0 153 150 365 359 172 59 0
ODI 0 72 71 225 402 238 129 0
CDI 0 40 72 150 533 449 318 0
VCDI 0 3 22 185 1057 3208 9017 5810
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56858 23433 2715 1102 322 92 61 0
OW 52 250 181 412 289 85 24 0
VODI 0 167 153 329 351 181 61 0
ODI 0 78 75 242 392 221 124 0
CDI 0 42 66 142 498 458 356 0
VCDI 0 2 32 187 1070 3199 8988 5810

Date: 2022-02-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 52926 24781 5012 1007 351 85 26 0
OW 53 263 249 385 333 63 30 0
VODI 0 131 171 297 389 186 68 0
ODI 0 64 96 152 362 230 104 0
CDI 0 54 76 182 454 547 368 0
VCDI 0 25 47 250 947 3279 9690 5367
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 52926 24755 5022 1069 390 89 27 0
OW 53 258 228 352 326 73 27 0
VODI 0 148 165 274 389 181 69 0
ODI 0 71 100 142 354 256 110 0
CDI 0 57 81 142 427 518 347 0
VCDI 0 29 55 294 950 3273 9706 5367

Date: 2022-02-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 54397 23328 4848 1499 325 51 6 0
OW 53 378 206 361 240 64 16 0
VODI 0 187 182 295 399 127 12 0
ODI 0 84 90 182 413 221 28 0
CDI 0 39 77 156 575 533 184 0
VCDI 0 5 43 207 1136 4049 9045 5059
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 54397 23071 4793 1530 362 94 14 0
OW 53 380 187 324 277 104 15 0
VODI 0 256 157 232 380 146 18 0
ODI 0 122 107 150 314 221 49 0
CDI 0 126 72 129 453 398 150 0
VCDI 0 66 130 335 1302 4082 9045 5059

Date: 2022-02-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 53788 25008 4208 854 336 91 28 0
OW 52 522 159 275 205 91 46 0
VODI 0 327 128 267 328 111 58 0
ODI 0 129 89 136 340 172 69 0
CDI 0 84 104 132 502 506 199 0
VCDI 0 31 84 351 1717 3237 10388 3948
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 53787 24731 4169 892 420 145 57 0
OW 53 528 144 208 229 108 55 0
VODI 0 366 140 226 314 147 67 0
ODI 0 167 79 178 302 240 80 0
CDI 0 144 82 124 476 550 176 0
VCDI 0 165 158 387 1687 3018 10353 3948

Date: 2022-02-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59383 20247 3198 768 272 126 15 0
OW 52 467 269 356 196 64 33 0
VODI 0 327 174 376 314 140 45 0
ODI 0 110 114 229 357 207 70 0
CDI 0 62 111 256 644 574 271 0
VCDI 0 60 96 408 1205 3184 11159 3161
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59383 20033 3195 879 353 190 37 0
OW 52 490 206 296 216 91 38 0
VODI 0 321 160 285 318 187 64 0
ODI 0 149 102 197 306 281 109 0
CDI 0 96 80 187 586 568 278 0
VCDI 0 184 219 549 1209 2978 11067 3161


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