Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2022-02-03

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-01-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 180 19 3 0 0 0 0
OW 0 59 22 15 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 99 5 23 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 92 17 103 64 55 11 0
CDI 0 116 40 116 107 166 205 9
VCDI 0 130 236 404 591 2027 11885 15283
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-01-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 128 14 21 2 0 0 0
OW 0 40 5 14 14 0 0 0
VODI 0 43 20 10 16 0 0 0
ODI 0 54 6 5 21 47 3 0
CDI 0 79 15 9 129 177 77 22
VCDI 0 54 120 237 732 1301 10169 18498
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-02-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 170 30 22 1 0 0 0
OW 0 40 10 18 8 0 0 0
VODI 0 40 10 6 29 0 0 0
ODI 0 27 10 11 36 14 0 0
CDI 0 41 9 11 68 85 28 0
VCDI 0 116 109 172 365 1495 10766 18335
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-02-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 112 34 27 8 0 0 0
OW 0 23 18 24 11 3 0 0
VODI 0 9 14 32 20 3 1 0
ODI 0 8 8 23 15 13 0 0
CDI 0 13 4 18 34 59 76 0
VCDI 0 6 31 274 284 893 11195 18789
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 108 29 25 8 1 0 0
OW 0 23 22 22 10 2 0 0
VODI 0 13 13 32 22 6 1 0
ODI 0 5 7 24 14 10 0 0
CDI 0 15 8 20 18 56 73 0
VCDI 0 7 30 275 300 896 11198 18789

Date: 2022-02-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 105 26 16 0 0 0 0
OW 0 36 16 9 18 2 0 0
VODI 0 35 19 4 18 7 0 0
ODI 0 20 20 4 13 10 0 0
CDI 0 30 10 12 9 19 29 4
VCDI 0 54 72 190 173 493 10041 20568
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 103 25 15 1 0 0 0
OW 0 35 13 11 16 2 0 0
VODI 0 32 19 3 20 8 0 0
ODI 0 21 19 4 15 11 2 0
CDI 0 28 13 7 5 10 19 4
VCDI 0 61 74 195 174 500 10049 20568

Date: 2022-02-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 136 106 17 6 0 0 0
OW 0 64 6 9 9 4 0 0
VODI 0 64 6 12 11 5 0 0
ODI 0 42 8 42 18 13 0 0
CDI 0 67 68 65 20 44 14 4
VCDI 0 103 118 117 150 553 9357 20824
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 87 66 16 4 0 0 0
OW 0 48 16 7 8 2 0 0
VODI 0 50 13 9 13 5 0 0
ODI 0 40 12 2 18 10 0 0
CDI 0 43 19 5 11 51 9 0
VCDI 0 208 186 223 160 551 9362 20828

Date: 2022-02-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 213 45 10 6 1 0 0
OW 0 80 2 8 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 101 2 10 13 7 2 0
ODI 0 74 4 14 40 6 0 0
CDI 0 80 18 28 64 65 19 9
VCDI 0 286 143 149 222 860 11771 17726
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 166 34 8 3 0 0 0
OW 0 66 12 16 8 2 0 0
VODI 0 66 3 5 12 10 2 0
ODI 0 51 1 3 43 3 0 0
CDI 0 60 8 9 70 61 19 3
VCDI 0 425 156 178 213 863 11771 17732

Date: 2022-02-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 138 92 26 8 0 0 0
OW 0 68 6 9 1 2 0 0
VODI 0 108 4 15 13 4 0 0
ODI 0 131 14 32 55 13 0 0
CDI 0 105 41 42 84 50 111 6
VCDI 0 370 175 183 407 1074 11445 17250
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 100 78 27 6 0 0 0
OW 0 53 15 13 9 2 0 0
VODI 0 74 7 20 28 10 0 0
ODI 0 66 9 29 50 12 0 0
CDI 0 71 16 28 72 63 69 15
VCDI 0 556 207 190 403 1056 11487 17241


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