Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2022-02-03

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-01-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60696 20724 2586 803 279 123 89 0
OW 61 336 244 342 200 71 33 0
VODI 0 251 156 396 364 123 74 0
ODI 0 134 122 347 486 178 111 0
CDI 0 135 106 331 786 573 472 9
VCDI 0 326 456 827 1980 6903 29196 55619
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-01-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58738 22273 2207 1161 357 137 91 0
OW 52 366 189 316 229 71 72 0
VODI 0 229 169 314 351 136 84 0
ODI 0 89 104 221 318 283 111 0
CDI 0 89 47 224 515 732 307 22
VCDI 0 61 133 621 1893 6776 24503 62457
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-02-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57989 22515 3391 847 225 81 74 0
OW 54 320 226 434 199 55 34 0
VODI 0 177 118 347 450 149 82 0
ODI 0 67 79 203 439 221 131 0
CDI 0 59 34 147 555 601 341 0
VCDI 0 120 114 231 1351 6198 27915 60475
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-02-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56858 23553 2739 1061 318 89 62 0
OW 52 286 220 479 272 83 29 0
VODI 0 162 164 397 379 175 60 0
ODI 0 80 79 248 417 251 129 0
CDI 0 53 76 168 657 551 438 0
VCDI 0 9 53 459 1455 5578 30705 58204
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56858 23541 2744 1127 330 93 61 0
OW 52 273 203 434 299 87 24 0
VODI 0 180 166 361 373 187 62 0
ODI 0 83 82 266 407 231 124 0
CDI 0 57 74 162 605 565 476 0
VCDI 0 9 62 462 1484 5564 30676 58204

Date: 2022-02-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 52926 24886 5038 1023 351 85 26 0
OW 53 299 265 394 351 65 30 0
VODI 0 166 190 301 407 193 68 0
ODI 0 84 116 156 375 240 104 0
CDI 0 84 86 194 523 602 402 4
VCDI 0 79 119 441 1274 5648 27758 61642
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 52926 24858 5047 1084 391 89 27 0
OW 53 293 241 363 342 75 27 0
VODI 0 180 184 277 409 189 69 0
ODI 0 92 119 146 369 267 112 0
CDI 0 85 94 149 495 567 370 4
VCDI 0 90 129 490 1275 5646 27783 61642

Date: 2022-02-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 54397 23464 4954 1516 331 51 6 0
OW 53 442 212 370 249 68 16 0
VODI 0 251 188 307 410 132 12 0
ODI 0 126 98 224 431 234 28 0
CDI 0 106 145 221 598 613 223 11
VCDI 0 108 161 325 1347 6581 26442 61597
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 54397 23158 4859 1546 366 94 14 0
OW 53 428 203 331 285 106 15 0
VODI 0 306 170 241 393 151 18 0
ODI 0 162 119 152 332 231 49 0
CDI 0 169 91 134 467 502 193 27
VCDI 0 274 316 559 1523 6595 26438 61581

Date: 2022-02-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 53788 25221 4253 864 342 92 28 0
OW 52 602 161 283 209 91 46 0
VODI 0 428 130 277 341 118 60 0
ODI 0 203 93 150 384 178 69 0
CDI 0 164 122 160 571 618 223 9
VCDI 0 317 227 501 1955 5391 30741 57586
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 53787 24897 4203 900 423 145 57 0
OW 53 594 156 224 237 110 55 0
VODI 0 432 143 231 326 157 69 0
ODI 0 218 80 181 345 243 80 0
CDI 0 204 90 133 554 641 195 3
VCDI 0 590 314 566 1917 5192 30711 57592

Date: 2022-02-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59383 20385 3290 794 280 126 15 0
OW 52 535 275 365 197 66 33 0
VODI 0 435 178 391 327 144 45 0
ODI 0 241 128 261 412 220 70 0
CDI 0 167 152 298 771 655 386 6
VCDI 0 430 271 591 1630 5615 29727 57701
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59383 20133 3273 906 359 190 37 0
OW 52 543 221 309 225 93 38 0
VODI 0 395 167 305 346 197 64 0
ODI 0 215 111 226 356 301 109 0
CDI 0 167 96 215 680 666 357 15
VCDI 0 740 426 739 1651 5379 29671 57692


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