Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2022-01-27

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-01-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 32 12 10 23 0 0 0
OW 0 11 4 6 31 2 0 0
VODI 0 9 4 20 30 9 0 0
ODI 0 11 3 25 27 6 0 0
CDI 0 11 11 21 27 50 7 12
VCDI 0 77 39 104 198 645 9823 20782
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-01-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 12 52 18 7 0 0 0
OW 0 5 15 29 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 25 43 11 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 21 28 10 0 0 0
CDI 0 1 28 23 17 6 0 0
VCDI 0 0 109 126 105 348 9500 21537
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-01-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 207 26 8 0 0 0 0
OW 0 84 16 9 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 80 15 19 1 0 0 0
ODI 0 72 48 34 37 6 0 0
CDI 0 67 64 59 73 45 37 7
VCDI 0 131 105 205 293 1160 10746 18428
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-01-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 190 42 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 72 24 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 136 23 23 12 3 0 0
ODI 0 81 48 53 68 31 5 0
CDI 0 80 84 63 109 164 174 3
VCDI 0 156 246 361 515 2178 11858 15280
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 173 33 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 56 25 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 110 38 23 11 5 0 0
ODI 0 99 46 59 75 32 5 0
CDI 0 107 72 62 106 160 176 4
VCDI 0 170 253 356 512 2179 11856 15279

Date: 2022-01-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 152 15 11 0 0 0 0
OW 0 47 11 27 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 69 10 12 9 0 0 0
ODI 0 71 1 42 108 35 8 0
CDI 0 89 30 60 161 136 102 55
VCDI 0 78 124 481 616 1466 10941 17112
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 142 10 11 0 0 0 0
OW 0 41 9 19 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 56 17 22 17 0 0 0
ODI 0 57 1 51 120 36 7 0
CDI 0 89 10 46 146 147 113 65
VCDI 0 121 144 484 612 1454 10931 17102

Date: 2022-01-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 194 31 23 0 0 0 0
OW 0 36 12 17 8 0 0 0
VODI 0 41 9 8 24 0 0 0
ODI 0 44 15 24 18 16 2 0
CDI 0 18 18 28 105 95 62 0
VCDI 0 62 75 145 506 1474 9923 19049
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 113 17 21 2 0 0 0
OW 0 33 1 15 8 0 0 0
VODI 0 47 8 4 20 0 0 0
ODI 0 27 17 7 17 23 7 0
CDI 0 57 6 3 81 150 70 1
VCDI 0 118 111 195 533 1412 9910 19048

Date: 2022-02-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 155 26 21 2 0 0 0
OW 0 41 7 22 7 1 0 0
VODI 0 37 13 11 20 4 0 0
ODI 0 21 10 8 18 10 3 0
CDI 0 29 7 11 52 73 27 0
VCDI 0 131 148 157 338 1213 12268 17191
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 106 17 17 5 0 0 0
OW 0 23 1 19 4 2 0 0
VODI 0 36 2 12 19 5 0 0
ODI 0 27 7 5 16 6 3 0
CDI 0 17 24 3 28 64 42 0
VCDI 0 205 160 174 365 1224 12253 17191

Date: 2022-02-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 107 30 13 4 0 0 0
OW 0 23 21 24 11 1 0 0
VODI 0 15 14 26 19 4 0 0
ODI 0 5 14 19 26 8 0 0
CDI 0 10 7 26 22 54 72 6
VCDI 0 14 29 193 343 751 9458 20713
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 87 26 14 10 0 0 0
OW 0 22 4 15 9 3 0 0
VODI 0 20 10 11 21 4 0 0
ODI 0 7 14 13 20 13 1 0
CDI 0 1 13 21 10 42 54 9
VCDI 0 37 48 227 355 756 9475 20710


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