Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2022-01-20

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-01-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57564 24036 4791 460 148 86 196 0
OW 63 456 279 301 86 11 21 0
VODI 0 265 266 481 314 53 35 0
ODI 0 89 126 276 359 101 49 0
CDI 0 33 62 266 432 251 242 0
VCDI 0 9 42 229 744 2758 9312 3808
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-01-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 54433 21598 9655 528 271 150 158 0
OW 51 325 419 241 184 59 22 0
VODI 0 244 308 308 276 124 28 0
ODI 0 116 157 235 253 195 44 0
CDI 0 80 48 209 331 316 163 0
VCDI 0 62 81 260 728 3395 9182 3863
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-01-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56519 23153 5964 632 179 89 155 0
OW 51 272 273 341 161 53 26 0
VODI 0 144 160 351 319 148 44 0
ODI 0 55 60 244 393 338 77 0
CDI 0 20 46 97 441 538 213 0
VCDI 0 0 39 142 376 2086 10379 4522
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-01-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 55236 24989 5149 628 185 92 153 0
OW 51 356 211 333 162 34 31 0
VODI 0 186 178 339 282 114 73 0
ODI 0 66 89 198 347 277 77 0
CDI 0 37 65 155 374 634 264 0
VCDI 0 9 61 233 637 2658 9211 4926
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 55236 25034 5175 674 212 97 157 0
OW 51 319 203 307 153 41 29 0
VODI 0 174 160 321 272 117 72 0
ODI 0 63 85 191 335 231 74 0
CDI 0 39 68 156 376 615 238 0
VCDI 0 14 62 237 639 2708 9239 4926

Date: 2022-01-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 54909 23599 6250 827 306 128 112 0
OW 60 189 271 391 217 85 39 0
VODI 0 110 174 299 286 181 83 0
ODI 0 50 95 170 309 315 94 0
CDI 0 27 53 169 518 652 223 0
VCDI 0 4 35 158 632 3296 8821 4963
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 54909 23623 6324 887 334 141 117 0
OW 60 167 209 349 210 81 45 0
VODI 0 107 165 296 270 196 75 0
ODI 0 46 86 163 281 279 85 0
CDI 0 32 49 163 520 590 217 0
VCDI 0 4 45 156 653 3370 8833 4963

Date: 2022-01-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 55767 22090 7069 727 182 111 109 0
OW 60 253 275 383 161 33 9 0
VODI 0 152 205 378 349 90 20 0
ODI 0 65 117 234 535 168 58 0
CDI 0 31 61 210 768 653 271 0
VCDI 0 61 127 304 1120 3405 10227 2262
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 55767 21798 6916 773 247 149 132 0
OW 60 346 294 305 205 53 27 0
VODI 0 209 196 317 299 134 83 0
ODI 0 127 111 192 402 168 94 0
CDI 0 83 91 175 572 525 193 0
VCDI 0 89 246 474 1390 3431 10165 2262

Date: 2022-01-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57083 23648 3674 777 266 93 117 0
OW 56 341 206 320 178 40 33 0
VODI 0 192 191 319 284 122 70 0
ODI 0 53 100 253 335 178 94 0
CDI 0 37 74 232 474 661 269 0
VCDI 0 117 243 452 1336 3754 9644 2784
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57082 23301 3615 758 322 124 174 0
OW 57 462 182 250 176 81 37 0
VODI 0 285 179 313 274 156 117 0
ODI 0 100 113 218 271 175 122 0
CDI 0 91 84 241 476 531 175 0
VCDI 0 149 315 573 1354 3781 9602 2784

Date: 2022-01-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60696 20544 2567 800 279 123 89 0
OW 61 277 222 327 200 71 33 0
VODI 0 152 151 373 364 123 74 0
ODI 0 42 105 244 422 123 100 0
CDI 0 19 66 215 627 372 265 0
VCDI 0 196 220 423 1349 3199 8647 4940
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60696 20255 2455 819 360 166 121 0
OW 61 368 232 228 223 63 47 0
VODI 0 232 180 367 320 162 98 0
ODI 0 97 88 215 375 132 115 0
CDI 0 71 86 163 525 397 185 0
VCDI 0 207 290 590 1438 3091 8642 4940


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