Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2022-01-13

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-01-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59352 21247 6193 640 279 99 161 0
OW 63 405 247 238 141 33 46 0
VODI 0 276 183 232 242 96 41 0
ODI 0 92 161 169 216 143 71 0
CDI 0 20 129 239 280 306 216 0
VCDI 0 1 16 167 468 1857 11605 2730
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-01-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58497 21475 6423 614 271 83 146 0
OW 63 651 231 211 131 52 34 0
VODI 0 295 178 246 189 105 41 0
ODI 0 103 154 232 211 133 74 0
CDI 0 56 107 240 353 267 220 0
VCDI 0 2 29 152 445 1812 10643 3931
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-01-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 53789 27427 6136 377 141 25 119 0
OW 63 373 375 299 93 24 18 0
VODI 0 146 265 321 235 66 15 0
ODI 0 52 137 245 286 143 48 0
CDI 0 6 35 171 296 341 178 0
VCDI 0 0 7 92 405 2174 9932 4245
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-01-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 54398 26283 6095 417 125 65 188 0
OW 63 511 344 335 72 8 16 0
VODI 0 249 325 392 253 42 21 0
ODI 0 77 181 238 331 119 46 0
CDI 0 25 93 240 317 238 269 0
VCDI 0 3 61 196 657 2430 9581 3796
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 54398 26308 6123 456 131 67 150 0
OW 63 478 304 282 73 8 50 0
VODI 0 255 333 399 241 41 25 0
ODI 0 79 197 243 323 119 50 0
CDI 0 25 86 235 327 242 276 0
VCDI 0 3 56 203 660 2425 9570 3796

Date: 2022-01-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56243 22351 6386 1226 361 123 189 0
OW 64 343 327 332 124 39 24 0
VODI 0 198 233 458 327 134 49 0
ODI 0 82 104 261 315 185 62 0
CDI 0 37 65 223 416 362 236 0
VCDI 0 12 62 205 611 2900 9627 3804
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56243 22433 6426 1286 397 116 153 0
OW 64 286 288 281 99 64 60 0
VODI 0 179 226 449 279 115 52 0
ODI 0 78 115 265 340 187 62 0
CDI 0 41 58 217 425 356 230 0
VCDI 0 6 64 207 614 2905 9630 3804

Date: 2022-01-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 54508 26846 4853 425 138 67 103 0
OW 60 305 252 343 139 29 25 0
VODI 0 140 204 393 399 73 36 0
ODI 0 50 61 202 474 298 50 0
CDI 0 20 24 110 436 536 200 0
VCDI 0 5 57 93 411 2695 9881 4159
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 54508 26750 4743 460 211 107 137 0
OW 60 289 259 260 141 73 57 0
VODI 0 183 177 303 326 106 41 0
ODI 0 71 122 181 341 245 45 0
CDI 0 50 55 163 385 368 153 0
VCDI 0 23 95 199 593 2799 9862 4159

Date: 2022-01-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 54303 22904 8230 695 185 95 169 0
OW 51 394 327 255 112 54 30 0
VODI 0 193 219 334 216 125 42 0
ODI 0 83 98 299 321 223 80 0
CDI 0 48 52 172 461 460 198 0
VCDI 0 12 59 234 680 2563 9747 4377
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 54303 22728 8196 707 237 162 208 0
OW 51 401 246 196 106 107 74 0
VODI 0 248 230 291 139 130 76 0
ODI 0 103 118 239 281 160 88 0
CDI 0 80 88 201 366 319 163 0
VCDI 0 74 107 355 846 2642 9657 4377

Date: 2022-01-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57595 23330 4164 704 238 105 91 0
OW 51 269 283 337 196 58 25 0
VODI 0 110 177 312 310 171 46 0
ODI 0 35 102 198 303 292 78 0
CDI 0 13 66 155 438 660 249 0
VCDI 0 2 33 205 583 3022 9049 5045
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57595 23241 4114 791 299 150 110 0
OW 51 259 218 267 221 164 49 0
VODI 0 130 198 254 296 217 72 0
ODI 0 54 103 161 226 249 100 0
CDI 0 53 90 146 430 582 209 0
VCDI 0 22 102 292 596 2946 8998 5045


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