Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2022-01-13

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-01-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 3 21 65 7 2 0 0
OW 0 5 11 25 20 3 0 0
VODI 0 6 5 12 11 7 0 0
ODI 0 3 4 15 3 1 0 0
CDI 0 0 3 19 13 67 13 0
VCDI 0 0 0 33 164 577 8864 22100
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-01-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 22 24 20 1 0 0 0
OW 0 17 9 23 6 3 0 0
VODI 0 12 6 19 17 8 0 0
ODI 0 9 8 6 5 0 0 0
CDI 0 8 8 7 10 28 12 0
VCDI 0 6 19 69 144 787 13125 17644
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-01-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 16 29 28 1 0 0 0
OW 0 0 11 33 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 11 32 18 3 0 0
ODI 0 0 5 11 17 1 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 13 12 26 44 36
VCDI 0 0 0 7 82 398 9685 21557
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-01-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 32 15 21 0 0 0 0
OW 0 11 11 23 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 13 20 32 11 0 0 0
ODI 0 4 14 13 16 2 0 0
CDI 0 3 13 16 18 17 30 0
VCDI 0 0 17 57 117 627 10555 20371
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 32 15 24 0 0 0 0
OW 0 11 10 21 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 13 20 29 10 0 0 0
ODI 0 5 15 11 16 2 0 0
CDI 0 2 13 17 18 18 34 3
VCDI 0 0 17 60 118 626 10551 20368

Date: 2022-01-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 20 16 16 2 0 0 0
OW 0 9 21 12 8 0 0 0
VODI 0 20 25 20 6 3 0 0
ODI 0 27 8 4 17 13 0 0
CDI 0 23 17 15 13 61 82 7
VCDI 0 24 46 149 195 754 11926 18523
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 23 19 19 3 0 0 0
OW 0 6 20 13 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 20 21 15 6 3 0 0
ODI 0 24 9 4 17 14 0 0
CDI 0 26 14 13 14 63 78 5
VCDI 0 24 50 152 194 751 11930 18525

Date: 2022-01-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 41 24 30 11 1 0 0
OW 0 34 29 11 9 1 0 0
VODI 0 29 21 17 7 0 0 0
ODI 0 20 13 6 1 4 0 0
CDI 0 20 8 14 32 58 30 6
VCDI 0 75 83 159 236 855 10685 19512
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 30 17 15 2 0 0 0
OW 0 7 18 17 9 0 0 0
VODI 0 13 17 18 11 2 0 0
ODI 0 35 11 10 10 16 2 0
CDI 0 28 14 4 43 81 34 10
VCDI 0 106 101 173 221 820 10679 19508

Date: 2022-01-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 47 9 30 17 0 0 0
OW 0 9 10 37 12 0 0 0
VODI 0 13 17 30 15 0 0 0
ODI 0 15 18 8 5 5 0 0
CDI 0 16 10 14 26 50 27 5
VCDI 0 100 46 126 217 701 12632 17815
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 35 6 16 7 0 0 0
OW 0 10 3 17 12 0 0 0
VODI 0 13 4 31 23 0 0 0
ODI 0 9 7 25 8 22 2 0
CDI 0 9 25 10 31 41 49 12
VCDI 0 124 65 146 211 693 12608 17808

Date: 2022-01-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 32 12 10 23 0 0 0
OW 0 11 4 6 31 2 0 0
VODI 0 9 4 20 30 9 0 0
ODI 0 11 3 25 27 6 0 0
CDI 0 11 11 21 27 50 7 12
VCDI 0 77 39 104 198 645 9823 20782
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 25 7 9 19 0 0 0
OW 0 8 5 5 20 1 0 0
VODI 0 8 5 4 32 9 0 0
ODI 0 10 6 7 26 7 3 0
CDI 0 15 6 34 41 45 37 1
VCDI 0 85 44 127 198 650 9790 20793


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