Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2022-01-13

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-01-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59352 21250 6214 705 286 101 161 0
OW 63 410 258 263 161 36 46 0
VODI 0 282 188 244 254 104 41 0
ODI 0 95 165 189 236 164 71 0
CDI 0 20 132 274 419 522 247 0
VCDI 0 17 35 263 1112 4801 33096 54771
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-01-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58497 21497 6447 634 272 83 146 0
OW 63 668 240 234 137 55 34 0
VODI 0 307 184 265 206 113 41 0
ODI 0 112 162 238 216 136 79 0
CDI 0 64 115 247 371 384 254 0
VCDI 0 8 48 236 841 4970 34876 53568
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-01-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 53789 27443 6165 405 142 25 119 0
OW 63 373 386 332 99 24 18 0
VODI 0 146 276 353 253 69 15 0
ODI 0 52 142 258 303 144 48 0
CDI 0 6 35 191 324 434 225 36
VCDI 0 0 7 136 724 4871 34596 54021
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-01-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 54398 26315 6110 438 125 65 188 0
OW 63 522 355 358 75 8 16 0
VODI 0 262 345 424 264 42 21 0
ODI 0 81 195 251 347 121 46 0
CDI 0 28 106 256 336 284 319 0
VCDI 0 3 78 253 881 4797 28120 60152
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 54398 26340 6138 480 131 67 150 0
OW 63 489 314 303 76 8 50 0
VODI 0 268 353 428 251 41 25 0
ODI 0 84 212 254 339 121 50 0
CDI 0 27 99 252 346 288 332 3
VCDI 0 3 73 263 885 4792 28103 60149

Date: 2022-01-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56243 22371 6402 1242 363 123 189 0
OW 64 352 348 344 132 39 24 0
VODI 0 218 258 478 333 137 49 0
ODI 0 109 112 265 332 198 62 0
CDI 0 60 82 238 438 488 349 7
VCDI 0 36 108 354 855 5193 30973 57080
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56243 22456 6445 1305 400 116 153 0
OW 64 292 308 294 106 64 60 0
VODI 0 199 247 464 285 118 52 0
ODI 0 102 124 269 357 201 62 0
CDI 0 67 72 230 447 483 341 5
VCDI 0 30 114 359 858 5196 30978 57082

Date: 2022-01-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 54508 26887 4877 455 149 68 103 0
OW 60 339 281 354 148 30 25 0
VODI 0 169 225 410 406 73 36 0
ODI 0 70 74 211 476 302 50 0
CDI 0 40 32 138 504 624 232 6
VCDI 0 80 140 283 883 5464 29464 58372
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 54508 26780 4760 475 213 107 137 0
OW 60 296 277 277 150 73 57 0
VODI 0 196 194 321 337 108 41 0
ODI 0 106 133 191 351 261 47 0
CDI 0 78 69 176 464 472 189 10
VCDI 0 129 196 411 1051 5540 29439 58368

Date: 2022-01-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 54303 22951 8239 725 202 95 169 0
OW 51 403 337 292 124 54 30 0
VODI 0 206 236 364 231 125 42 0
ODI 0 98 116 307 326 228 80 0
CDI 0 64 62 186 521 519 229 5
VCDI 0 112 105 360 988 5384 31043 57136
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 54303 22763 8202 723 244 162 208 0
OW 51 411 249 213 118 107 74 0
VODI 0 261 234 322 162 130 76 0
ODI 0 112 125 264 289 182 90 0
CDI 0 89 113 211 422 366 218 18
VCDI 0 198 172 501 1157 5458 30927 57123

Date: 2022-01-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57595 23362 4176 714 261 105 91 0
OW 51 280 287 343 227 60 25 0
VODI 0 119 181 332 340 180 46 0
ODI 0 46 105 223 330 298 78 0
CDI 0 24 77 183 486 783 281 12
VCDI 0 79 72 322 888 5497 29862 58627
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57595 23266 4121 800 318 150 110 0
OW 51 267 223 272 241 165 49 0
VODI 0 138 203 258 328 226 72 0
ODI 0 64 109 168 252 256 103 0
CDI 0 68 96 187 502 693 256 1
VCDI 0 107 146 432 891 5433 29793 58638


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