Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2022-01-06

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2021-12-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66853 18722 2308 502 311 382 119 0
OW 86 212 319 251 99 39 27 0
VODI 0 133 194 279 213 73 31 0
ODI 0 32 84 190 229 122 42 0
CDI 0 14 43 172 247 345 161 0
VCDI 0 0 18 97 433 1750 9885 4083
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-01-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 55800 26105 5414 660 229 409 168 0
OW 62 272 376 277 78 23 32 0
VODI 0 114 204 389 179 36 38 0
ODI 0 87 104 205 243 78 47 0
CDI 0 11 58 206 315 248 154 0
VCDI 0 5 26 133 593 1964 10765 2993
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-01-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 55088 24584 7789 641 272 313 178 0
OW 66 335 223 260 129 20 60 0
VODI 0 165 188 305 224 36 34 0
ODI 0 60 107 191 257 79 37 0
CDI 0 15 94 188 289 257 128 0
VCDI 0 0 29 204 500 1810 10172 3773
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-01-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58054 23628 4698 1081 346 212 139 0
OW 63 422 234 215 157 47 53 0
VODI 0 248 217 235 197 113 39 0
ODI 0 63 160 194 193 156 46 0
CDI 0 12 116 187 279 322 172 0
VCDI 0 0 14 123 499 1834 10036 4296
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58054 23659 4686 1099 345 217 145 0
OW 63 371 253 199 152 37 47 0
VODI 0 266 194 232 200 110 35 0
ODI 0 67 162 191 184 157 44 0
CDI 0 10 132 182 283 308 169 0
VCDI 0 0 12 132 507 1855 10045 4296

Date: 2022-01-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58229 24089 4427 555 250 66 148 0
OW 63 529 191 228 138 60 36 0
VODI 0 326 153 232 203 115 46 0
ODI 0 136 132 169 195 157 69 0
CDI 0 76 89 232 270 293 215 0
VCDI 0 3 41 178 414 1749 12815 1783
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58229 24100 4423 554 252 76 149 0
OW 63 508 190 226 133 52 32 0
VODI 0 287 141 224 188 103 46 0
ODI 0 165 135 162 194 145 63 0
CDI 0 94 91 219 273 311 229 0
VCDI 0 5 53 209 430 1753 12810 1783

Date: 2022-01-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60907 22397 3774 550 214 50 93 0
OW 74 307 318 340 140 44 20 0
VODI 0 112 207 359 269 112 14 0
ODI 0 32 113 211 326 176 56 0
CDI 0 2 32 133 336 410 247 0
VCDI 0 0 3 36 280 1964 10056 4386
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60905 21851 3620 538 225 67 118 0
OW 76 527 266 229 139 66 12 0
VODI 0 329 190 266 211 129 26 0
ODI 0 103 160 228 225 137 110 0
CDI 0 38 167 240 300 283 207 0
VCDI 0 2 44 128 465 2074 10013 4386

Date: 2022-01-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 53796 29170 4194 430 119 35 141 0
OW 63 657 244 264 106 12 12 0
VODI 0 261 250 293 252 53 12 0
ODI 0 94 125 243 241 167 33 0
CDI 0 27 46 199 314 300 238 0
VCDI 0 0 17 118 505 2544 9998 3527
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 53795 28680 4103 403 128 48 159 0
OW 64 521 246 168 111 20 13 0
VODI 0 553 190 285 171 82 18 0
ODI 0 268 143 205 244 139 49 0
CDI 0 146 126 230 259 265 121 0
VCDI 0 41 68 256 624 2557 10074 3527

Date: 2022-01-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57564 24036 4791 460 148 86 196 0
OW 63 456 279 301 86 11 21 0
VODI 0 265 266 481 314 53 35 0
ODI 0 89 126 276 359 101 49 0
CDI 0 33 62 266 432 251 242 0
VCDI 0 9 42 229 744 2758 9312 3808
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57576 23660 4750 474 181 96 221 0
OW 51 542 208 178 65 15 22 0
VODI 0 407 203 289 150 58 48 0
ODI 0 177 189 308 310 81 37 0
CDI 0 82 136 330 508 180 80 0
VCDI 0 20 80 434 869 2830 9447 3808


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