Validation of sea ice concentration
Bulletin date: 2024-03-14
Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables
Date: 2024-03-08:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
12845 |
6084 |
854 |
322 |
149 |
58 |
9 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
76 |
148 |
131 |
111 |
93 |
10 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
35 |
144 |
181 |
144 |
230 |
75 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
3 |
74 |
121 |
166 |
258 |
153 |
3 |
CDI |
0 |
2 |
26 |
107 |
222 |
376 |
975 |
83 |
VCDI |
0 |
4 |
34 |
59 |
136 |
363 |
7126 |
6169 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2024-03-12:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
12544 |
5956 |
888 |
399 |
194 |
89 |
12 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
42 |
172 |
116 |
87 |
98 |
18 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
18 |
84 |
140 |
178 |
168 |
82 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
4 |
30 |
72 |
147 |
256 |
152 |
2 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
18 |
49 |
141 |
417 |
824 |
32 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
15 |
43 |
102 |
412 |
8074 |
6084 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2024-03-14:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
12617 |
5717 |
652 |
409 |
203 |
142 |
26 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
91 |
169 |
104 |
85 |
81 |
38 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
12 |
152 |
130 |
146 |
103 |
90 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
0 |
61 |
99 |
164 |
98 |
145 |
3 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
40 |
89 |
220 |
237 |
437 |
30 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
30 |
47 |
125 |
569 |
8480 |
6318 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
12617 |
5727 |
672 |
418 |
206 |
155 |
38 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
78 |
168 |
107 |
93 |
75 |
31 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
15 |
146 |
122 |
149 |
100 |
95 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
0 |
60 |
99 |
156 |
97 |
135 |
3 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
33 |
87 |
202 |
227 |
399 |
33 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
25 |
45 |
137 |
576 |
8518 |
6315 |
|
Date: 2024-03-18:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
11731 |
6025 |
933 |
550 |
259 |
142 |
16 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
35 |
93 |
160 |
91 |
69 |
17 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
17 |
69 |
177 |
147 |
129 |
71 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
3 |
34 |
133 |
118 |
144 |
126 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
2 |
11 |
81 |
140 |
257 |
301 |
18 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
7 |
95 |
244 |
941 |
7624 |
7149 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
11731 |
5965 |
852 |
562 |
285 |
187 |
37 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
71 |
118 |
153 |
88 |
92 |
44 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
21 |
97 |
145 |
102 |
122 |
101 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
13 |
35 |
119 |
100 |
109 |
98 |
1 |
CDI |
0 |
6 |
20 |
75 |
131 |
207 |
253 |
22 |
VCDI |
0 |
6 |
25 |
142 |
293 |
965 |
7622 |
7144 |
|
Date: 2024-03-20:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
11990 |
5632 |
1095 |
465 |
240 |
134 |
12 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
24 |
126 |
150 |
81 |
67 |
34 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
16 |
76 |
181 |
108 |
132 |
78 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
8 |
26 |
105 |
91 |
128 |
128 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
2 |
28 |
86 |
108 |
246 |
340 |
4 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
11 |
74 |
224 |
734 |
7084 |
8091 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
11990 |
5576 |
984 |
490 |
271 |
204 |
55 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
59 |
141 |
110 |
74 |
94 |
70 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
26 |
132 |
132 |
60 |
128 |
133 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
7 |
44 |
121 |
59 |
120 |
134 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
8 |
27 |
105 |
95 |
201 |
333 |
11 |
VCDI |
0 |
6 |
34 |
103 |
293 |
694 |
6951 |
8084 |
|
Date: 2024-03-22:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
12232 |
5678 |
835 |
346 |
212 |
184 |
20 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
60 |
126 |
110 |
74 |
85 |
33 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
28 |
103 |
115 |
107 |
140 |
109 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
10 |
56 |
81 |
77 |
156 |
178 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
6 |
38 |
79 |
104 |
186 |
498 |
12 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
23 |
77 |
224 |
510 |
6697 |
8550 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
12232 |
5580 |
758 |
397 |
282 |
336 |
112 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
81 |
128 |
69 |
58 |
89 |
108 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
48 |
118 |
72 |
68 |
119 |
208 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
24 |
55 |
56 |
50 |
100 |
252 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
19 |
33 |
74 |
45 |
114 |
482 |
14 |
VCDI |
0 |
30 |
89 |
140 |
295 |
503 |
6373 |
8548 |
|
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