Validation of sea ice concentration

Bulletin date: 2023-12-28

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-12-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13576 6685 813 247 121 51 19 0
OW 0 83 159 105 115 108 6 0
VODI 0 80 128 157 212 301 19 0
ODI 0 27 64 113 189 474 111 1
CDI 0 13 57 67 89 479 510 9
VCDI 0 2 54 138 241 820 7357 4359
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-12-26:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2023-12-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13688 6718 568 166 38 7 1 0
OW 0 182 210 117 31 15 3 0
VODI 0 51 189 209 97 65 14 0
ODI 0 9 68 154 153 272 127 7
CDI 0 11 36 121 117 305 434 53
VCDI 0 2 76 189 238 853 8736 3829
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13688 6775 636 190 42 7 1 0
OW 0 135 179 103 39 19 5 0
VODI 0 41 163 199 86 55 14 0
ODI 0 9 58 158 144 267 144 9
CDI 0 11 31 109 126 324 444 56
VCDI 0 2 80 197 237 845 8707 3824

Date: 2024-01-01:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2024-01-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13494 6624 659 252 39 1 0 0
OW 0 69 182 159 58 13 0 0
VODI 0 53 108 208 139 37 2 0
ODI 0 11 68 216 146 129 44 3
CDI 0 3 24 169 176 376 203 29
VCDI 0 8 44 261 346 1374 9607 2825
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13494 6400 412 142 32 3 0 0
OW 0 181 235 108 40 6 1 0
VODI 0 105 153 210 90 23 2 0
ODI 0 55 103 192 101 97 23 0
CDI 0 21 97 212 218 304 223 12
VCDI 0 6 85 401 423 1497 9607 2845

Date: 2024-01-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12965 6410 826 305 142 39 5 0
OW 0 41 165 88 85 67 19 0
VODI 0 11 177 135 77 128 47 0
ODI 0 0 100 160 73 108 83 0
CDI 0 0 39 117 145 189 337 5
VCDI 0 0 71 137 275 741 8322 5525
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12965 6228 587 232 117 30 20 0
OW 0 133 193 99 64 37 27 0
VODI 0 50 178 97 88 114 41 0
ODI 0 25 123 90 59 146 80 0
CDI 0 12 111 133 122 202 315 39
VCDI 0 14 186 291 347 743 8330 5491


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