Validation of sea ice concentration

Bulletin date: 2023-05-18

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-05-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13369 6759 872 325 110 52 16 0
OW 0 24 111 85 77 75 47 0
VODI 0 5 62 80 94 131 110 0
ODI 0 7 38 33 91 170 248 0
CDI 0 0 11 45 96 385 1636 11
VCDI 0 1 8 25 46 534 8068 4302
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-05-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13983 6226 847 471 85 29 11 0
OW 2 20 70 128 71 34 40 0
VODI 1 9 39 171 149 112 61 0
ODI 3 0 7 70 144 249 147 0
CDI 0 0 8 64 226 901 1185 7
VCDI 0 0 0 41 62 449 7655 4382
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-05-18:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2023-05-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14510 6034 1041 403 161 85 31 0
OW 3 28 130 135 116 74 38 0
VODI 0 0 82 101 188 229 75 0
ODI 0 0 34 60 166 441 340 1
CDI 0 0 7 49 145 582 2229 5
VCDI 0 0 4 21 48 77 5546 4940
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14508 5992 1045 404 189 122 44 0
OW 2 32 71 101 103 79 32 0
VODI 3 27 68 84 97 185 89 0
ODI 0 11 47 60 104 210 240 0
CDI 0 0 58 74 234 622 1418 1
VCDI 0 0 9 46 97 270 6436 4945

Date: 2023-05-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14706 6112 1114 537 187 14 43 0
OW 0 28 108 175 135 56 40 0
VODI 0 1 84 151 200 125 86 0
ODI 0 0 36 103 218 351 285 0
CDI 0 0 24 86 241 445 2160 8
VCDI 0 0 13 46 109 162 5922 4048
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14703 6028 1013 485 182 22 45 0
OW 3 46 109 140 101 46 38 0
VODI 0 43 86 124 145 106 100 0
ODI 0 22 72 96 143 158 220 0
CDI 0 2 62 154 305 540 1638 6
VCDI 0 0 37 99 214 281 6495 4050

Date: 2023-05-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14814 6101 1191 710 129 28 54 0
OW 0 42 88 202 93 35 36 0
VODI 0 19 51 230 127 109 98 0
ODI 0 9 43 173 223 213 359 0
CDI 0 13 38 198 215 484 1919 5
VCDI 0 4 18 145 89 145 5701 4008
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14814 5973 1059 572 121 28 64 0
OW 0 60 107 168 66 48 52 0
VODI 0 62 92 190 105 57 118 0
ODI 0 40 55 186 139 109 214 0
CDI 0 24 65 296 270 535 1688 4
VCDI 0 29 51 246 175 237 6031 4009


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