Validation of sea ice concentration

Bulletin date: 2023-04-13

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-04-07:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2023-04-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12873 5940 751 404 201 39 17 0
OW 0 76 102 105 104 37 26 0
VODI 0 23 116 130 154 94 66 0
ODI 0 8 76 98 122 122 142 0
CDI 0 6 35 129 162 293 751 0
VCDI 0 7 27 52 266 725 10699 3184
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-04-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13237 5819 630 424 114 27 21 0
OW 0 92 102 159 87 42 35 0
VODI 0 61 86 195 123 65 75 0
ODI 0 16 53 141 95 92 143 0
CDI 0 6 58 154 184 262 698 0
VCDI 0 9 10 103 285 880 10502 3077
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13237 5838 649 437 120 31 29 0
OW 0 75 85 133 83 40 33 0
VODI 0 62 83 206 114 67 73 0
ODI 0 13 57 136 100 81 133 0
CDI 0 6 56 154 176 259 676 0
VCDI 0 9 9 110 295 890 10530 3077

Date: 2023-04-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13197 5935 696 498 131 46 13 0
OW 0 89 142 177 84 36 22 0
VODI 0 56 110 228 134 76 37 0
ODI 0 13 48 100 146 154 143 0
CDI 0 4 31 91 170 393 720 0
VCDI 0 23 15 122 328 1542 9701 2711
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13197 5914 708 514 147 60 28 0
OW 0 94 88 134 75 43 17 0
VODI 0 58 127 196 85 70 48 0
ODI 0 27 63 127 106 85 151 0
CDI 0 15 45 108 193 264 642 0
VCDI 0 12 11 137 387 1725 9750 2711

Date: 2023-04-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13064 5979 883 433 203 149 40 0
OW 0 47 183 115 87 89 55 0
VODI 0 12 112 124 96 98 101 0
ODI 0 0 45 66 80 135 184 0
CDI 0 1 41 66 122 230 767 0
VCDI 0 8 21 84 292 991 10329 2830
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13064 5935 836 431 179 163 57 0
OW 0 68 135 88 86 52 46 0
VODI 0 26 169 97 84 78 97 0
ODI 0 9 79 89 67 116 191 0
CDI 0 1 49 87 130 212 672 0
VCDI 0 8 17 96 334 1071 10413 2830

Date: 2023-04-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12828 6070 951 489 194 53 7 0
OW 0 72 201 109 74 84 9 0
VODI 0 23 159 116 90 127 46 0
ODI 0 2 66 102 129 146 164 0
CDI 0 1 53 96 180 276 759 0
VCDI 0 8 35 104 287 869 10049 3134
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12828 6044 881 491 203 99 13 0
OW 0 76 206 89 50 64 20 0
VODI 0 38 162 101 92 119 64 0
ODI 0 7 100 71 102 119 172 0
CDI 0 2 75 112 176 248 661 0
VCDI 0 9 41 152 331 906 10104 3134


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