Validation of sea ice concentration

Bulletin date: 2023-01-12

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-01-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14622 6172 701 265 45 8 0 0
OW 0 250 247 174 51 23 1 0
VODI 0 137 216 283 98 79 21 0
ODI 0 91 123 179 147 103 32 0
CDI 0 64 84 183 216 214 272 5
VCDI 0 93 149 352 468 964 6728 4299
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-01-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14957 6445 539 217 16 6 3 0
OW 0 179 188 207 24 17 5 0
VODI 0 101 167 261 112 44 10 0
ODI 0 35 84 163 151 129 22 0
CDI 0 32 52 168 188 261 234 28
VCDI 0 3 43 196 338 841 8077 3616
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-01-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15058 6169 525 169 43 9 3 0
OW 0 263 205 147 47 28 4 0
VODI 0 145 193 216 134 39 10 0
ODI 0 35 64 157 144 109 56 0
CDI 0 17 51 114 133 210 225 32
VCDI 0 4 86 192 314 864 7985 3960
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15058 6205 558 185 49 14 1 0
OW 0 230 181 135 41 18 6 0
VODI 0 140 168 186 119 34 10 0
ODI 0 33 78 164 143 97 53 0
CDI 0 21 45 123 131 219 236 29
VCDI 0 4 94 202 332 877 7977 3963

Date: 2023-01-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14257 6282 905 328 95 32 2 0
OW 0 126 207 172 73 42 8 0
VODI 0 70 133 288 173 101 16 0
ODI 0 26 65 150 176 237 58 0
CDI 0 10 42 77 139 308 199 66
VCDI 0 5 80 201 295 1207 6341 5167
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14257 6125 825 272 87 30 3 0
OW 0 176 183 145 70 52 16 0
VODI 0 112 156 267 98 90 19 0
ODI 0 50 80 135 137 143 69 6
CDI 0 34 79 109 108 197 231 74
VCDI 0 22 109 288 451 1415 6286 5153

Date: 2023-01-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14338 6312 862 219 44 18 0 0
OW 0 173 222 143 58 30 1 0
VODI 0 97 194 199 134 132 23 0
ODI 0 37 110 114 173 125 83 18
CDI 0 40 66 91 166 169 150 72
VCDI 0 38 175 228 453 997 6858 4797
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14338 6257 781 178 44 20 0 0
OW 0 182 229 134 34 29 9 0
VODI 0 107 217 185 147 136 35 0
ODI 0 56 105 111 170 126 75 21
CDI 0 46 111 102 123 147 154 82
VCDI 0 49 186 284 510 1013 6842 4784

Date: 2023-01-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14256 6141 993 275 58 9 1 0
OW 0 194 226 139 75 23 1 0
VODI 0 102 215 209 170 123 24 0
ODI 0 48 84 146 168 159 95 2
CDI 0 43 74 112 164 160 234 9
VCDI 0 73 169 250 450 888 7033 4564
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14256 6128 972 272 69 11 6 0
OW 0 173 229 144 78 32 15 0
VODI 0 105 207 201 183 165 60 0
ODI 0 79 89 127 153 136 120 2
CDI 0 42 87 147 140 148 310 11
VCDI 0 74 177 240 462 870 6877 4562


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