Validation of sea ice concentration

Bulletin date: 2022-09-08

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-09-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 23007 6364 1343 322 138 42 19 0
OW 0 9 49 117 96 39 21 0
VODI 0 7 34 67 87 107 53 0
ODI 0 0 17 26 80 145 563 2
CDI 0 0 0 63 97 148 1934 1063
VCDI 0 0 0 1 4 3 913 1179
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-09-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 24189 5643 740 497 110 37 3 0
OW 0 12 23 127 105 26 10 0
VODI 0 0 16 84 122 77 30 0
ODI 0 0 4 56 193 277 357 0
CDI 0 0 0 84 104 280 1799 907
VCDI 0 0 0 2 7 32 1069 1137
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-09-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 24291 5607 583 516 103 34 6 0
OW 0 10 18 178 81 26 13 0
VODI 0 0 9 107 129 55 33 0
ODI 0 0 2 37 152 303 295 0
CDI 0 0 0 65 93 251 1817 879
VCDI 0 0 0 28 36 63 1157 1182
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 24291 5606 585 530 94 33 5 0
OW 0 10 16 157 91 24 16 0
VODI 0 1 11 107 134 71 30 0
ODI 0 0 0 45 147 271 306 0
CDI 0 0 0 64 88 271 1826 862
VCDI 0 0 0 28 40 62 1138 1199

Date: 2022-09-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 24268 5193 956 313 151 52 7 0
OW 0 0 30 118 104 54 19 0
VODI 0 0 8 65 185 95 26 0
ODI 0 0 1 33 177 267 348 0
CDI 0 0 0 32 70 118 1813 937
VCDI 0 0 0 17 10 16 825 1851
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 24268 5193 945 323 168 70 14 0
OW 0 0 34 98 97 33 12 0
VODI 0 0 12 72 144 108 32 0
ODI 0 0 3 19 114 161 162 0
CDI 0 0 1 47 159 213 1819 577
VCDI 0 0 0 19 15 17 999 2211

Date: 2022-09-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 24253 5213 849 398 181 14 2 0
OW 0 0 39 136 93 37 5 0
VODI 0 0 13 97 150 73 11 0
ODI 0 0 6 28 104 227 163 0
CDI 0 0 0 16 59 353 1693 794
VCDI 0 0 0 5 15 20 1048 2064
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 24253 5211 804 371 201 43 7 0
OW 0 2 52 90 57 31 1 0
VODI 0 0 32 129 131 68 6 0
ODI 0 0 17 39 90 145 74 0
CDI 0 0 2 43 100 403 1554 462
VCDI 0 0 0 8 23 34 1280 2396

Date: 2022-09-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 24150 5298 818 347 144 28 0 0
OW 0 1 66 144 63 36 2 0
VODI 0 0 29 110 132 72 15 0
ODI 0 0 13 46 130 190 98 0
CDI 0 0 0 11 87 312 1597 686
VCDI 0 0 0 5 17 27 1226 2259
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 24150 5294 783 337 162 44 1 0
OW 0 5 63 84 44 30 8 0
VODI 0 0 55 133 106 63 12 0
ODI 0 0 22 64 94 136 44 0
CDI 0 0 3 35 122 278 1426 356
VCDI 0 0 0 10 45 114 1447 2589


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