Validation of sea ice concentration

Bulletin date: 2022-06-16

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-06-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15323 6477 1740 582 351 111 65 0
OW 0 33 127 198 262 157 52 0
VODI 0 11 88 212 294 315 239 0
ODI 0 0 77 133 230 399 733 0
CDI 0 0 74 124 254 696 2409 0
VCDI 0 0 9 25 54 149 2783 3373
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-06-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15640 6666 1777 731 306 112 81 0
OW 0 35 123 273 204 150 57 0
VODI 0 11 78 259 375 366 209 0
ODI 0 1 39 79 236 817 761 0
CDI 0 0 41 93 176 551 1412 0
VCDI 0 0 3 12 24 103 2859 3499
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-06-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16235 6534 1546 763 330 208 84 0
OW 0 31 80 235 240 280 61 0
VODI 0 11 72 147 309 580 240 0
ODI 0 4 32 57 178 631 688 0
CDI 0 0 29 99 152 536 1304 0
VCDI 0 0 3 23 15 83 2779 3560
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16235 6549 1565 810 377 287 98 0
OW 0 20 69 209 204 214 63 0
VODI 0 7 62 128 301 536 224 0
ODI 0 4 30 55 178 662 640 0
CDI 0 0 33 97 151 536 1362 0
VCDI 0 0 3 25 13 83 2769 3560

Date: 2022-06-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16802 6658 1315 1184 345 102 101 0
OW 0 13 97 408 211 118 94 0
VODI 0 1 55 345 393 368 286 0
ODI 0 0 18 83 226 372 578 0
CDI 0 0 21 132 110 352 970 32
VCDI 0 0 2 15 25 51 2422 3854
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16802 6635 1318 1274 434 158 136 0
OW 0 25 74 311 205 173 110 0
VODI 0 10 51 247 295 223 280 0
ODI 0 2 27 148 215 348 457 0
CDI 0 0 35 166 119 352 1028 107
VCDI 0 0 3 21 42 109 2440 3779

Date: 2022-06-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 17404 6137 1796 1069 387 122 88 0
OW 0 26 109 347 379 197 60 0
VODI 0 21 69 169 361 337 190 0
ODI 0 14 33 51 147 370 398 0
CDI 0 3 56 120 134 265 750 0
VCDI 0 0 1 17 19 94 2354 4065
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 17404 6104 1734 1056 478 242 112 0
OW 0 33 107 246 205 171 66 0
VODI 0 32 92 205 316 235 210 0
ODI 0 21 67 131 219 271 335 0
CDI 0 11 63 118 191 348 1050 0
VCDI 0 0 1 17 18 118 2067 4065

Date: 2022-06-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 18223 5930 1809 1040 220 74 115 0
OW 0 47 183 501 217 109 60 0
VODI 0 50 51 250 247 156 172 0
ODI 0 40 25 82 143 160 396 0
CDI 0 63 88 117 202 126 649 0
VCDI 0 0 8 25 63 67 2341 4110
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 18223 5843 1709 1040 304 153 144 0
OW 0 84 159 307 129 95 71 0
VODI 0 71 145 294 157 107 186 0
ODI 0 51 47 214 136 121 325 0
CDI 0 81 101 146 328 171 1126 3
VCDI 0 0 3 14 38 45 1881 4107


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