Validation of sea ice concentration

Bulletin date: 2022-06-02

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-05-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13607 5462 1812 760 158 21 31 10
OW 1 2 87 324 150 61 45 6
VODI 0 0 55 333 295 170 128 4
ODI 0 0 41 316 439 397 289 1
CDI 0 1 11 225 436 1142 1870 0
VCDI 0 0 15 70 211 552 4604 4017
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-05-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14719 5637 1195 1193 198 32 55 0
OW 0 6 42 406 190 93 45 0
VODI 0 0 25 387 353 216 116 0
ODI 0 0 9 211 299 602 369 0
CDI 0 0 23 155 433 988 2382 7
VCDI 0 0 7 34 62 315 4280 3075
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-06-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14690 5594 1363 1071 404 123 54 0
OW 0 7 54 288 295 124 63 0
VODI 0 2 35 204 354 319 175 0
ODI 0 0 19 118 263 493 437 0
CDI 0 0 8 85 347 911 2586 0
VCDI 0 0 2 37 67 184 3935 3448
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14690 5596 1375 1096 409 127 73 0
OW 0 6 41 262 274 125 49 0
VODI 0 1 37 211 362 296 159 0
ODI 0 0 15 102 281 499 384 0
CDI 0 0 11 94 334 913 2622 0
VCDI 0 0 2 38 70 194 3963 3448

Date: 2022-06-06:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2022-06-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15269 6198 1753 743 331 60 65 0
OW 0 22 147 264 167 97 49 0
VODI 0 2 74 251 300 278 182 0
ODI 0 3 43 137 310 480 597 0
CDI 0 1 51 106 215 702 2585 0
VCDI 0 0 15 27 59 177 3018 3381
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15269 6141 1599 669 348 110 102 0
OW 0 47 167 170 141 97 69 0
VODI 0 22 145 286 217 178 258 0
ODI 0 11 49 172 289 354 544 0
CDI 0 5 110 200 322 836 2481 0
VCDI 0 0 13 31 65 219 3042 3381

Date: 2022-06-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15323 6477 1740 582 351 111 65 0
OW 0 33 127 198 262 157 52 0
VODI 0 11 88 212 294 315 239 0
ODI 0 0 77 133 230 399 733 0
CDI 0 0 74 124 254 696 2409 0
VCDI 0 0 9 25 54 149 2783 3373
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15323 6313 1555 533 402 203 105 0
OW 0 122 139 151 142 113 72 0
VODI 0 66 124 206 259 248 291 0
ODI 0 20 116 147 250 322 678 0
CDI 0 0 173 200 327 761 2386 0
VCDI 0 0 8 37 65 180 2749 3373


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