Validation of sea ice concentration

Bulletin date: 2022-05-26

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-05-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13481 5716 878 852 232 75 61 0
OW 4 20 74 201 140 88 65 0
VODI 0 15 81 166 200 130 185 0
ODI 0 2 42 101 189 219 403 0
CDI 0 0 28 124 224 696 1724 0
VCDI 0 0 72 160 195 480 6351 4485
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-05-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13907 5604 1076 476 230 68 34 0
OW 3 1 90 188 167 102 20 3
VODI 0 0 74 214 290 289 85 6
ODI 0 0 38 108 247 586 396 2
CDI 0 0 44 107 251 776 2413 7
VCDI 0 0 25 58 90 226 5507 4351
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-05-26:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2022-05-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14632 5548 1349 920 190 39 47 0
OW 0 5 95 438 168 75 31 0
VODI 0 2 23 469 354 241 98 0
ODI 0 1 6 234 368 631 305 1
CDI 0 0 9 185 452 1202 2205 5
VCDI 0 0 10 40 88 383 4298 3012
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14632 5549 1220 722 129 61 56 0
OW 0 4 90 299 103 58 35 0
VODI 0 2 74 316 248 192 125 0
ODI 0 1 74 465 349 389 311 1
CDI 0 0 22 407 620 1336 2040 7
VCDI 0 0 12 77 171 535 4417 3010

Date: 2022-06-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14649 5603 1391 1083 323 81 50 0
OW 0 7 62 297 257 129 56 0
VODI 0 3 30 246 375 286 162 0
ODI 0 0 15 125 274 586 396 0
CDI 0 0 9 107 325 878 2547 3
VCDI 0 0 1 32 62 176 4023 3510
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14649 5600 1187 617 180 62 60 0
OW 0 8 120 280 135 86 52 0
VODI 0 4 84 361 309 240 210 0
ODI 0 1 83 277 398 407 373 0
CDI 0 0 28 304 435 1018 2240 4
VCDI 0 0 6 51 159 323 4299 3509

Date: 2022-06-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14804 5455 1790 871 379 108 50 2
OW 0 6 91 298 232 132 58 1
VODI 0 1 58 242 299 294 181 1
ODI 0 0 19 118 248 427 455 0
CDI 0 0 23 110 339 803 2806 0
VCDI 0 0 5 34 52 160 3729 3478
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14804 5456 1431 444 195 60 72 2
OW 0 5 182 253 121 98 70 1
VODI 0 1 138 350 300 224 333 1
ODI 0 0 108 294 307 327 333 0
CDI 0 0 122 262 476 844 2652 6
VCDI 0 0 5 70 150 371 3819 3472


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