Validation of sea ice concentration

Bulletin date: 2022-04-14

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-04-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12434 5647 973 442 231 86 94 0
OW 0 7 161 160 91 95 54 0
VODI 0 0 98 186 150 167 106 6
ODI 0 0 29 106 175 288 158 8
CDI 0 0 4 83 174 373 490 6
VCDI 0 0 2 20 123 572 9295 5065
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-04-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12823 5853 832 641 149 30 44 0
OW 0 77 166 183 84 53 23 0
VODI 0 23 126 277 145 90 51 0
ODI 0 4 56 193 160 133 110 0
CDI 0 0 17 99 153 408 719 5
VCDI 0 0 6 74 167 677 8306 5202
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-04-14:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2022-04-18:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2022-04-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13212 5741 887 309 221 83 33 0
OW 0 39 216 127 123 110 49 0
VODI 0 3 150 145 137 187 77 0
ODI 0 0 78 68 105 169 131 1
CDI 0 0 17 51 91 340 745 13
VCDI 0 0 4 13 33 239 8139 6073
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13212 5708 878 349 273 143 70 0
OW 0 62 168 86 84 107 45 0
VODI 0 13 184 102 102 127 93 0
ODI 0 0 92 82 86 120 142 1
CDI 0 0 25 75 106 278 477 13
VCDI 0 0 5 19 59 353 8347 6073

Date: 2022-04-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13261 5646 939 352 130 84 15 0
OW 0 32 256 129 137 122 33 0
VODI 0 1 128 149 193 181 89 6
ODI 0 0 29 61 100 135 171 18
CDI 0 0 14 37 71 261 908 36
VCDI 0 0 7 9 42 216 6801 7360
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13261 5634 983 400 219 160 51 0
OW 0 40 169 94 70 111 53 0
VODI 0 5 133 110 119 148 108 6
ODI 0 0 49 62 115 126 174 18
CDI 0 0 32 59 90 189 717 23
VCDI 0 0 7 12 60 265 6914 7373


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