Validation of sea ice concentration

Bulletin date: 2022-04-07

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-04-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12694 5604 987 411 145 76 91 0
OW 0 15 142 200 115 80 53 4
VODI 0 4 97 172 173 210 82 9
ODI 0 0 27 77 165 318 147 5
CDI 0 0 3 35 139 527 592 18
VCDI 0 0 0 45 111 857 8004 5725
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-04-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12819 5818 758 436 87 49 70 0
OW 0 31 152 175 83 54 42 0
VODI 0 9 131 221 143 110 83 1
ODI 0 5 36 232 192 183 146 57
CDI 0 0 1 82 187 366 491 152
VCDI 0 0 0 40 121 698 8145 5753
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-04-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12498 5705 899 458 203 85 85 0
OW 0 11 165 165 117 100 48 0
VODI 0 0 104 173 157 153 100 7
ODI 0 0 12 176 216 260 169 3
CDI 0 0 3 88 154 380 582 6
VCDI 0 0 5 32 165 488 8929 5258
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12498 5709 924 499 236 99 88 0
OW 0 7 149 141 101 81 46 2
VODI 0 0 94 159 136 166 108 5
ODI 0 0 13 157 213 250 166 4
CDI 0 0 3 97 159 380 569 5
VCDI 0 0 5 39 167 490 8936 5258

Date: 2022-04-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12980 5616 846 576 103 28 45 0
OW 0 79 191 211 88 33 17 0
VODI 0 30 148 295 148 93 39 0
ODI 0 0 70 266 167 137 89 9
CDI 0 0 17 100 223 397 445 43
VCDI 0 0 8 28 196 790 7317 6291
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12980 5575 755 487 93 16 63 0
OW 0 100 198 188 59 29 30 0
VODI 0 45 166 254 105 89 53 0
ODI 0 4 103 295 161 106 117 3
CDI 0 1 42 182 238 317 326 37
VCDI 0 0 16 70 269 921 7363 6303

Date: 2022-04-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12708 5828 965 630 226 38 43 0
OW 0 49 168 203 109 46 16 0
VODI 0 36 106 236 169 90 43 0
ODI 0 7 66 155 153 161 109 1
CDI 0 0 21 70 164 401 792 14
VCDI 0 0 6 74 154 725 8417 4960
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12708 5796 778 406 174 33 77 0
OW 0 65 210 179 87 28 27 0
VODI 0 28 197 247 138 79 53 0
ODI 0 15 82 284 161 126 107 0
CDI 0 10 39 147 216 362 473 8
VCDI 0 6 26 105 199 833 8683 4967

Date: 2022-04-15:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available


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