Validation of sea ice concentration

Bulletin date: 2022-03-24

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-03-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14504 5621 618 189 94 25 37 0
OW 0 260 262 140 63 25 44 0
VODI 0 66 211 293 105 66 123 0
ODI 0 15 121 216 146 93 192 0
CDI 0 18 73 169 183 190 636 52
VCDI 0 59 337 440 328 546 7477 4122
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-03-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13731 5769 1143 378 126 61 30 0
OW 0 107 164 206 86 62 26 0
VODI 0 35 165 242 155 113 76 0
ODI 0 22 116 222 161 177 143 0
CDI 0 13 132 200 213 422 466 6
VCDI 0 8 199 308 308 760 7968 3640
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-03-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13216 5877 956 363 96 53 61 0
OW 0 113 241 153 124 73 29 0
VODI 0 65 205 226 148 159 69 0
ODI 0 25 113 173 139 154 104 0
CDI 0 29 73 146 168 280 415 3
VCDI 0 19 249 241 288 709 7647 4957
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13216 5890 978 383 125 63 75 0
OW 0 106 233 146 114 88 18 0
VODI 0 64 190 220 149 142 69 0
ODI 0 25 112 170 132 166 116 0
CDI 0 26 75 141 154 281 428 1
VCDI 0 17 249 242 289 688 7619 4959

Date: 2022-03-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12969 5623 1133 287 159 118 61 0
OW 0 11 204 132 127 63 39 0
VODI 0 0 130 184 214 203 56 0
ODI 0 0 42 108 220 407 104 7
CDI 0 0 18 62 143 534 506 40
VCDI 0 0 64 130 218 920 8327 4596
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12969 5541 1072 284 177 163 96 0
OW 0 69 176 96 108 74 55 0
VODI 0 22 137 154 161 179 79 0
ODI 0 2 74 133 204 315 119 9
CDI 0 0 65 82 155 484 442 32
VCDI 0 0 67 154 276 1030 8302 4602

Date: 2022-03-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12641 5615 1234 348 155 62 87 0
OW 0 9 173 173 115 74 47 0
VODI 0 0 110 182 203 167 82 0
ODI 0 0 24 188 214 242 150 0
CDI 0 0 7 59 135 479 734 6
VCDI 0 0 28 142 231 614 8345 5084
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12641 5596 1153 336 173 84 137 0
OW 0 24 176 150 91 75 61 0
VODI 0 4 129 169 196 154 111 0
ODI 0 0 58 188 198 245 172 0
CDI 0 0 28 93 141 378 615 7
VCDI 0 0 32 156 254 702 8349 5083

Date: 2022-04-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12694 5604 987 411 145 76 91 0
OW 0 15 142 200 115 80 53 4
VODI 0 4 97 172 173 210 82 9
ODI 0 0 27 77 165 318 147 5
CDI 0 0 3 35 139 527 592 18
VCDI 0 0 0 45 111 857 8004 5725
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12694 5579 913 396 153 137 146 0
OW 0 30 174 162 94 71 68 4
VODI 0 14 91 170 146 167 116 10
ODI 0 0 54 96 175 331 168 4
CDI 0 0 23 65 141 414 713 11
VCDI 0 0 1 51 139 948 7758 5732


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